EU begins package talks with Iran
Tuesday, June 6, 2006
http://edition.cnn.com/2006/WORLD/meast/06/06/iran.nuclear/
(CNN) -- European Union foreign policy chief
Javier Solana is in Iran to present a package of
incentives and penalties aimed at getting the
country to end its uranium enrichment program.
According to
Cristina Gallach, Solana was to meet on Tuesday
with Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki and the
head Iran's Supreme National Security Council,
Ali Larijani.
Six world powers
-- Germany and the five veto-wielding members of
the U.N. Security Council -- last week agreed on
a package of incentives if Iran stops uranium
enrichment, or penalties if it refuses. Solana
is to present the package to Iranian officials
during Tuesday's meetings.
Although
Washington has no diplomatic relations with Iran
-- which President Bush branded part of an "axis
of evil" -- the United States last week agreed
to join European allies in negotiations with
Tehran if Iran suspends its uranium enrichment
program and resumes full cooperation with the
International Atomic Energy Agency.
The Islamic
republic says it wants to pursue nuclear power
for peaceful purposes, but the United States and
the European Union believe it harbors
aspirations to be armed with nuclear weapons.
Iran's
supreme leader warned the United States Sunday
that "misbehavior" aimed at Tehran would disrupt
Gulf energy shipments.
"In order to
threaten Iran, you say that you can guarantee
movements of oil through this region. You should
know that the slightest misbehavior on your part
would endanger the region's energy security. You
are not capable of guaranteeing energy security
in this region," said Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.
He delivered a
speech on the 17th anniversary of the passing
Ayatollah Khomeini, who spearheaded the
establishment of the Islamic republic in 1979.
Khamenei did not
specify what he meant by disruption or
misbehavior.
"If you, the
United States, make a wrong move regarding Iran,
definitely the energy flow in this region will
be seriously endangered. We are committed to our
national interests, and whoever threatens it
will experience the sharpness of this nation's
anger," he said.
U.S. Secretary of
State Condoleezza Rice deflected concerns about
the remarks. "We're not going to react to every
statement that comes out of Iran," she told CNN.
"The oil card --
well, let's just remember that Iran is some 80
percent dependent on oil in its budget and so
not really able to live without, with a
disruption as well."
Sunday's remarks
from Iran and the United States come after a
week that saw a sharp turn in the U.S. strategy
toward Tehran.
"We have set in
train a diplomatic process," Rice told "Late
Edition." "That diplomatic process needs to work
now with Iran being given the proposal that the
six parties put together in Vienna, with Iran
recognizing that it now has a path ahead that
would allow an end to this impasse, but also
that the international community is committed to
a second path should that first path not work."
Rice refused to
lay out a timetable for Iran to respond to the
latest overture.
"I don't believe
in setting timelines and deadlines," Rice said.
"The only point here is that this can't be
endless. The Iranian program is progressing, and
the international community needs to know if
there is a negotiating option that really has
life in it."
Rice also rejected
assertions by Iranian leaders that the West is
trying to prevent Iran from having nuclear
energy.
"If what Iran is
looking for is civil nuclear technology, a
peaceful program with civil nuclear technology,
no one is trying to deny them that. In fact, I
know they've said from time to time that they
have a right to civil nuclear, to a civil
nuclear program. We accept that," she said.
"The question is,
can they have a civil nuclear program that does
not have the proliferation risk associated with
having fuel-cycle technologies on, certain
fuel-cycle technologies on Iranian territory?"
Iranian President
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said Saturday his country is
ready to hold "fair and unconditional" talks
with the West on Iran's nuclear issue, according
to the state-run Islamic Republic News Agency.
Ahmadinejad, a
hard-line conservative, has sparked
international outrage with some of his previous
comments denying the Holocaust and calling for
the destruction of Israel.
CNN's Shirzad Bozorghmehr contributed to this
report.
Solana Lands in Tehran with EU Incentives
June 05, 2006
The Associated Press
Nasser Karimi
link to original article
The European Union
foreign policy chief brought a Western package
of incentives and penalties to Iran Monday in an
effort to coax the hard-line government to stop
uranium enrichment and defuse an international
crisis.
Javier Solana told reporters at Tehran airport
that the West wanted "to start a new
relationship on the basis of mutual respect and
trust."
He was to meet Tuesday with Iranian Foreign
Minister Manouchehr Mottaki and chief nuclear
negotiator Ali Larijani.
Mottaki, who returned from Oman shortly before
Solana arrived, said the EU and Iran would
launch what he termed "shuttle diplomacy" in an
effort to overcome differences about Tehran's
disputed nuclear program. He did not elaborate.
Solana said he believed the package of rewards
and threatened punishments would "allow us to
engage in negotiations based on trust, respect
and confidence."
The six-nation package offers economic and
political incentives if Tehran relinquishes
domestic uranium enrichment, which can be used
to generate power but can also produce
weapons-grade uranium for nuclear warheads.
The offer agreed on in Vienna on Friday by the
U.S., Russia, France, Britain and China — the
five permanent U.N. Security Council nations —
plus Germany, also contains the implicit threat
of U.N. sanctions if Iran remains defiant.
In a breakthrough last week, the United States
agreed to join in multination talks on the
package if Tehran suspends enrichment.
Details of the basket of perks and penalties
have not been made public. But an earlier draft
shared in part with The Associated Press offered
help in building nuclear reactors that produce
reduced amounts of waste that could be
reprocessed for nuclear arms and a guaranteed
supply of fuel as well as an offer to supply
European Airbus aircraft for Tehran's civilian
fleet.
Diplomats revealed Monday that Washington has
sweetened the offer originally drawn up by
France, Britain and Germany by saying it will
lift some bilateral sanctions on Tehran such as
a ban on sales of Boeing passenger aircraft and
related parts if Iran agrees to an enrichment
freeze.
One of the diplomats also said in the package
agreed on Friday, Washington would be prepared
to take some "dual-use" technology off its
banned list of exports to Iran. The term is used
for products and material that have military as
well as civilian uses.
Iranian officials have sent conflicting signals
on the initiative, reflecting a possible
struggle within the leadership on how to react.
Additionally, the U.S. offer to join in direct
talks with Iran might have caught Tehran's top
officials off guard.
Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, normally
a hardline critic of the United States who
insists that Tehran has a right to enrichment,
said over the weekend that a breakthrough in
negotiations was possible and welcomed the U.S.
offer to join talks, while rejecting
preconditions.
But Iran's supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei
threatened to disrupt the world's oil supply if
Tehran is punished over its nuclear program,
reflecting Tehran's nervousness.
Khamenei on the weekend said the United States
and its allies would be unable to secure oil
shipments passing out of the Gulf through the
strategic Strait of Hormuz to the Indian Ocean.
Although other Iranian officials have repeatedly
ruled out using oil as weapon, his comments
propelled oil prices to $73 a barrel Monday.
Iran is the world's fourth-largest oil exporter
and the second-largest producer in the
Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries.
In Washington, White House spokesman Tony Snow
urged reporters to withhold judgment on
Khamenei's remarks until Iran has had a chance
to weigh the package.
"Let people look at it," he said. "I understand
why commodities markets may be unsettled by a
comment like that, but over time, if this
succeeds, the commodities markets are going to
be very happy and so should we all be."
Associated Press correspondent George Jahn
contributed from Vienna.
How Iran Might Answer the West
June 05, 2006
Time Magazine
Tony Karon
link to original article
The U.S. has
opened the door to talks with Iran over the
nuclear issue. But how likely is an agreement?
Here are five things you need to know about
Iran's approach to negotiations.
After weeks of tough talk, the diplmatic
standoff over Iran's nuclear program may finally
be loosening. European Union foreign policy
chief Javier Solana is in Tehran to present
Iran's leaders with a detailed package of
incentives for cooperation over its nuclear
program. And the U.S. has offered to join talks
with Iran if it halts uranium enrichment. So how
is Iran likely respond? Here's what you need to
know about the coming negotiations.
1) Never mind
President Ahmedinajad; listen to Larijani
Despite his title, Iran's saber-rattling
president does not hold executive power and has
no direct authority to decide foreign policy or
security matters, including the nuclear issue.
Those issues are decided by Supreme Leader
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, in consultation with the
National Security Council, chaired by Ali
Larijani. The EU proposal will be relayed to
Larijiani, who will be the point man in
negotiations with the West. Ahmedinajad's
warning on Sunday that "we will record the talks
and we will publish them at the appropriate
time, so our people will be informed about the
details" seemed a populist warning against
compromise to those negotiating on Iran's behalf
— a sign of Iran's ongoing internal power
struggle. But that doesn't mean Iran's position
will necessarily be any more flexible; Larjani
is a tough negotiator who, even without
Ahmedinajad's pressure, will likely press for a
deal that gives Iran more than the U.S. is
inclined to concede.
2) Iran might
agree to suspend uranium enrichment ... but at a
price
Iran's track record suggests it might agree to
suspend uranium enrichment, but probably not as
a precondition for talks — which they would see
giving up leverage with no quid-pro-quo — but
rather as an outcome of talks. Tehran did, in
fact, suspend uranium enrichment, under
monitoring by the IAEA, during the three years
of nuclear negotiation with Britain, France and
Germany. But those talks went nowhere, and
Larijani is reported to believe that Iran
surrendered too much leverage and weakened its
position. Iranian leaders also believe the
open-ended nature of those talks allowed the
Europeans to play for time as long as Iran's
enrichment program remained suspended. They are
likely to see their decision to break off those
talks and resume enrichment activities as having
been vindicated by the new improved offer from
the West.
3) There's
room for compromise
Because Washington is demanding only a
suspension of enrichment, not the dismantling of
whatever enrichment capability Iran currently
possesses, Iranian leaders have room to maneuver
without appearing to back down. One option would
be to simply claim "technical reasons" for
turning off Iran's centrifuges until further
notice. That would allow the IAEA to verify that
no enrichment is currently taking place,
creating a window of opportunity for talks. The
Iranians would likely signal discreetly that its
shut-down will last for a defined period.
Conversely, in exchange for a suspension, Iran
might demand some symbolic form of political
recognition from the U.S.
4) But the
Iranians feel they're in a position of strength
Iran's leaders believe the strategic balance has
shifted in their favor since the previous talks
with the Europeans. Rising world oil prices and
the difficulties faced by the U.S. in Iraq have
increased Tehran's leverage. Iran is also aware
that the consensus reached in Vienna by European
leaders and China remains fragile; while the
Bush administration insists that no military
option is off the table, for example, Russia's
foreign minister Sergei Lavrov said the
agreement rules out the use of military force
against Iran "in any circumstances." These
factors could embolden Tehran's negotiating
stance in the hope of extracting further
concessions.
5) What a
"grand bargain" with Iran might look like
If Iran and the U.S. could choreograph their way
to the table, could they reach an agreement that
satisfies both sides? The negotiations might
take years, but such a deal remains possible.
The Iranians have repeatedly stressed a
willingness to find a solution that addresses
the concerns of the international community
while upholding its right to nuclear energy.
Tehran is reportedly still ready to accept the
principle that — at least for defined period —
there would be no industrial scale uranium
enrichment on its own soil; the fuel for its
nuclear reactors would be produced abroad and
shipped back when spent. But Iran may hold out
for a deal that allows it to maintain its
164-centrifuge enrichment cascade at Natanz for
research purposes, under additional supervision
if necessary. That cascade is too small to
create bomb material, but the U.S. and its
allies believe even research-scale enrichment
would provide critical know-how and could also
camouflage any covert bomb program. The issue of
that research facility may be one in which each
side tests the other's will over the negotiating
table.
The reason the Europeans and others have been so
insistent on the U.S. joining the talks is that
security guarantees will be central to any
eventual deal. European diplomats believe that
as long as Iran fears attack by the U.S., hawks
in Tehran will have an argument for pursuing a
nuclear deterrent. But the U.S. won't offer Iran
security guarantees without assurances from Iran
on such issues as terrorism. So any negotiations
over the nuclear issue would force Washington
and Tehran to confront their differences over a
number of other issues. The two nations are
unlikely ever to kiss and make up, but such
comprehensive talks could help manage the
conflict between them in the interests of
stability.
Iran
President May Visit if Team Progress
June 05, 2006
Reuters
Andrew Gray
link to original article
BERLIN -- Iranian team officials have raised the
prospect of President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad coming
to Germany if the side reach the World Cup
second round, a visit that would cast a
political shadow over the finals.
Ahmadinejad has clashed with the West over
Iran's nuclear programme and drawn international
condemnation for a series of outspoken comments,
including questioning whether the Holocaust took
place and calling for Israel to be "wiped off
the map".
German officials have said he can expect more
criticism if he visits during the world's most
watched sporting event, which begins on Friday
when the host nation play Costa Rica in Munich.
"If we go to the second stage for sure he
(Ahmadinejad) will come to see the team," coach
Branko Ivankovic told Reuters before Iran beat a
Lake Constance regional squad 5-0 on Monday.
"That will show to my players and to the world
that football is very important in Iran."
The head of the Iranian Football Association
confirmed the president had been asked to visit
the team but appeared less certain he would make
the trip.
"We have invited him and he will come if he
finds the time," Mohammad Dadgan said.
Iran would have to spring a surprise to make the
second round. Portugal and Mexico are favourites
to progress from Group D, which also features
debutants Angola.
GATHER PACE
Preparations entered their final phase for
several of the major teams when they moved to
their bases.
Germany arrived at their hotel in Berlin and
Michael Ballack, their outstanding midfielder,
missed training as a precaution due to a calf
strain.
Ballack remained at the team hotel for a solo
fitness session, a spokesman for the German
Football Association said.
Coach Juergen Klinsmann announced a relaxed
approach to running his squad.
"Players can roam around Berlin if they want,"
he said. "They can go for a meal on their own if
they want."
Relaxation was also the order of the day for
champions and favourites Brazil.
Their players were given the day off after
arriving at their base outside Frankfurt late on
Sunday.
England settled into their hotel at Baden Baden
after captain David Beckham, central defender
John Terry and left back Ashley Cole missed
their final training session on home soil.
A team spokesman said all three had only minor
injuries which would not cause trouble for coach
Sven-Goran Eriksson.
"Sven fully expects all three to be training
this week and available for Saturday's opener
against Paraguay," he said.
Iran,
Syria on US Human Smuggling List
June 05, 2006
BBC News
BBCi
link to original article
The United States
has added Iran and Syria to its list of
countries that could face sanctions over their
failure to tackle trafficking in people. In an
annual report, the US State Department said Iran
was punishing victims of trafficking with
beatings, imprisonment and execution.
US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice said
Washington would lead calls for action to end
the problem.
The US says up to 800,000 people are the victims
of trafficking every year.
Iran and Syria now join Venezuela, Saudi Arabia,
North Korea, Sudan, Cuba, and Burma on
Washington's blacklist of worst offenders.
90-day deadline
Launching the State Department's "Trafficking in
People" report, US Secretary of State
Condoleezza Rice said Washington was leading a
new abolitionist movement to eradicate this
modern-day slavery.
The report highlights concerns that the victims
- often women and children - are being sold into
the sex trade.
But it also lists individual countries' efforts
to tackle the problem.
For the first time, Iran has been included
alongside the worst offenders.
Most of the other nations on the black list
include well-known critics of US policy such as
Cuba and Venezuela, says BBC State Department
correspondent Jonathan Beale.
But the US has also once again listed its Arab
ally Saudi Arabia among those nations of
greatest concern, our correspondent says.
Those countries could now face sanctions if they
do not make efforts to tackle the problem in the
next 90 days.
The US has also acknowledged it needs to do more
itself to tackle issues like prostitution.
It has also highlighted concerns that this
month's football World Cup could make Germany a
focus for traffickers engaged in prostitution.
Rafsanjani: Iran is Ready to Share its
Scientific Achievements
http://www.isna.ir/Main/NewsView.aspx?ID=News-729745&Lang=E
ISNA - Tehran
Service: Politic
TEHRAN,
June 05 (ISNA)-Iran's Expediency Council chief,
Ali Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani stated Iran's
readiness to share its scientific achievements,
especially nuclear technology with other nations
if this cycle was completed in Iran.
"The world is propagandizing against our
scientific advancement; therefore we currently
are in need of a powerful diplomacy so to remove
the existing obstacles and Imam Khomeini's
guidelines could serve as a solution in current
and future situations," said Hashemi Rafsanjani.
This official went on to say that the new threat
and encroachment wave which had been raised
against Iran was serious, but Iran's government
and nation would resist and fight in order to
achieve its inalienable rights and to develop
its Islamic knowledge.
Rafsanjani also while comparing Iran's Islamic
Revolution with those of others expressed that
the Iranian nation's all-out support of their
revolution was what distinguished this
revolution from the others.
Crude Oil Rises as Iran Says U.S. Risks
Disrupting Shipments
http://quote.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=10000006&sid=agOZkJbbjoKM&refer=home
June
5 (Bloomberg) -- Crude oil rose to the highest
in three weeks after Iran's supreme leader said
the U.S. risked disrupting oil shipments from
the Persian Gulf region.
The
U.S. could ``seriously endanger energy flow in
the region'' by acting against Iran, Ayatollah
Ali Khamenei said yesterday. Iran, the
fourth-biggest oil producer, borders the Strait
of Hormuz. About 17 million barrels a day is
transported through the waterway. Countries
along the Gulf produce 27 percent of the world's
oil, according to the U.S. Energy Department.
``We're up because there's increased concern
about the nuclear standoff with Iran,'' said Tim
Evans, an energy analyst at Citigroup Global
Markets Inc. in New York. ``Iran might curb
exports, attack tankers in the Strait of Hormuz
or cause other trouble if the U.S. were to take
further action.''
Crude oil for July delivery rose 82 cents, or
1.1 percent, to $73.15 a barrel at 1:40 p.m. on
the New York Mercantile Exchange. Futures
reached $73.84, the highest since May 11. Oil
touched $75.35 on April 21 and 24, the highest
since trading began in 1983. Prices are up 33
percent from a year ago.
Brent crude oil for July settlement rose 94
cents, or 1.3 percent, to $71.97 a barrel on the
London-based ICE Futures exchange. Futures
touched $74.97 a barrel May 2 and 3, the highest
since the contract began trading in 1988.
`Within Weeks'
Khamenei didn't say what steps Iran might take
to counter U.S. action. Last week, the U.S.,
China, Russia, the U.K., France and Germany
offered Iran incentives to abandon any nuclear
weapons development. Iran must respond to the
offer ``within weeks,'' U.S. Secretary of State
Condoleezza Rice said.
Khamenei, in the address carried by the official
Islamic Republic News Agency, said Iran is in a
stronger position than the U.S. because
President George W. Bush is the most unpopular
leader in the world. Bush ``faces protests and
public wrath wherever he steps on earth,''
Khamenei said, according to IRNA.
The
U.S. has accused Iran of using its nuclear
research as cover for the development of atomic
bombs. Iran's President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
insists the program is exclusively for
generation of power.
In
Washington, White House spokesman Tony Snow
counseled patience while Iran decides on the
offer. ``Commodities markets may be unsettled by
a comment like that but over time, if this
succeeds, the commodities markets are going to
be very happy,'' Snow said.
`Very Dependent'
``We
shouldn't put too much emphasis on a threat of
this kind,'' Rice said on the ``Fox News
Sunday'' program. ``After all, Iran is also very
dependent on oil revenue.''
Iran
relies on oil for between 80 and 90 percent of
the country's export earnings, according to the
U.S. Energy Department. It made $31.5 billion in
2004. Sales will rise 23 percent to $55 billion
this year as oil prices climb, Hadi Nejad-
Hosseinian, Iran's deputy oil minister for
international affairs, said May 17.
Iran
produced 3.85 million barrels of crude oil a day
in April, according to a Bloomberg News survey.
Most Iranian oil exports go to Japan, China,
South Korea and Europe. The U.S. imports no oil
from Iran and has had sanctions against the
country since the Islamic Revolution in 1979.
``It
is a ratcheting up of the rhetoric, but it's
nothing new,'' said Stephen Schork, president of
Schork Report in Villanova, Pennsylvania. ``What
the market seems to conveniently ignore is that
the oil weapon works both ways. Yes, Iran is a
major exporter of oil, but it is also a major
importer of refined product.''
Iran
imported an average 170,000 barrels of gasoline
a day in 2005, according to the U.S. Energy
Department.
`One
Big Pot'
``It's one big pot,'' said Ric Navy, a broker at
BNP Paribas SA in New York. ``It doesn't matter
that we don't import any oil from them. The
world pumps 85 million barrels, so 4 million
barrels is a nice little chunk.''
Oil
prices more than doubled in 1979 after a
revolution in Iran slashed the nation's oil
exports. By February 1981 U.S. refiners were
paying an average $39 a barrel for imported oil,
according to Energy Department figures, or
$86.88 in 2006 dollars.
At
its narrowest, the Strait of Hormuz consists of
two-mile- wide channels for inbound and outbound
tanker traffic and a two- mile-wide buffer zone.
Oil
has risen 20 percent this year amid disruptions
of supply from Nigeria and Iraq and concern that
Iranian shipments may be reduced because of the
disagreement about the country's nuclear
program.
Nigeria
In
Nigeria, kidnappers yesterday released eight
foreign oil workers they took hostage two days
earlier in the Niger River delta. The incident
was the fourth kidnapping of foreign oil workers
this year in Nigeria, Africa's top oil producer.
Attacks by the Movement for the Emancipation of
the Niger Delta on Nigerian facilities operated
by Royal Dutch Shell Plc and others have shut as
much as 631,000 barrels a day of crude
production this year, more than a quarter of the
West African nation's daily output. About
550,000 barrels a day remain shut.
Saudi Arabia's
crude oil output fell to 9.1 million barrels a
day in April because of weaker demand, the Wall
Street Journal reported, citing the Saudi oil
minister, Ali al-Naimi. The desert kingdom is
the world's biggest oil exporter. Saudi output
averaged almost 9.5 million barrels a day in the
first quarter, according to the International
Energy Agency.
Why
Iran Wants War
http://americandaily.com/article/13890
By
Slater Bakhtavar
(06/05/2006)
"The Iranian nation will wipe the stain of
regret on the foreheads of those who want to
bring about injustice", President Ahmadinejad
scorned at a recent rally in the province of
Zanjan. Iran "will cut off the hands of any
aggressor" and any attack would be met with a
response that is double-fold, including suicide
attacks across Europe and the United States, he
warned. "Israel should be wiped off the map",
the predominately Jewish nation "cannot survive"
and is headed "towards extinction" quipped the
fanatical President.
If one were to listen to his rhetoric alone,
even the most astute political intellectuals
would think Iran is a nation equipped with the
most dangerous military arsenal capable of
challenging any nation. But Iran's rhetoric has
little to do with their outdated and dismal
military, their fledging economy or their
detested government. The root of the
government's fiery tone may be traced to their
Shi'ite ideology messianic belief in a
mysterious, mystical twelfth imam who ventured
into hiding over a thousand years ago.
The Hidden Imam is a central concept in the
teachings of Shi'ite Islam. Born Muhammad
al-Mahdi he ventured into a cave in 941 AD
hidden by a gate called the Gate of Occultation.
The doctrine of Occultation professes Allah
aided the cloaking of the Imam away from the
eyes of man so that he could be kept alive until
his return. Shi'ites believe that the Twelfth
Imam will return to lead the religious battle
between good and evil when the world has become
consummately nefarious.
According to Shi'ite orthodoxy humans may not
force or hasten the return of the Imam, but the
Hojjateiehs, a group of which Ahmadinejad is a
member, opine that humans may stir up chaos to
encourage his return. With his recent rhetoric
vowing for the destruction of Israel, demanding
deportation of the Jews to Europe and denying
the Holocaust that the President seems to be
doing just that. In fact, his messianic axiom of
the Twelfth Imam and the subsequent suppression
of the forces of evil (modern day US, UK, Israel
and many other nations) is central to
Ahmadinejad's foreign policy. The Iranian
government's official policy has undercut
efforts of the international community by
rejecting a United Nations deadline to suspend
Iran's nuclear program, threatening to quit the
Non-Proliferation Treaty and vying that "nothing
can stop Iran's path to nuclear technology." In
anticipation of a stand off with the West Iran
recently clinched agreements with eight
different Middle East insurgency groups to carry
out suicide attacks against Israeli, British and
US interests across the world. Ironically this
plan is called 'Judgment Day.'
During a private meeting with an Iranian cleric
in November, Ahmadinejad claimed that while
giving a speech before the United Nations he
felt "the atmosphere change and for 27 to 28
minutes the leaders did not blink". "They were
astonished”, he said, “t had opened their eyes
and ears to the Islamic Republic." He further
said that he felt the hand of God upon him as he
delivered his omniscient speech. In his
egocentric fantasy world the Iranian President
likely sees himself as a deputy of the Imam with
a divine mission to encourage his arrival. His
references to the Imam in conjunction with
threats to wipe countries off the face of earth
should be taken seriously. Foreign policy
experts should examine the Islamic Republic from
both a political and religious perspective. To
the clerical regime the return of the Imam is
not a mere possibility, but a surety. Their
attitude towards the international community
seems to point at their preparation for that
day.
International concerns aside, there are domestic
reasons for the regime’s erratic behavior. After
27 years of executions, floggings, stoning,
oppression of political dissent, violation of
women's rights, oppression of religious
minorities, the largest brain drain in the
world, rampant prostitution, crime, drug use and
mass unemployment the Islamic Republic is
domestically quite loathed. In fact, recent
student polls show that close to eighty-five
percent of the population supports fundamental
democratic changes in the regime. Iranian
students have consistently poured into the
streets in pro-democracy protests only to be
violently suppressed, jailed, tortured and often
murdered. But dictatorships can only oppress for
so long and it's only a matter of time before
Iran explodes in a pro-Western democratic
revolution. The regime knows that the only way
they can leave any kind of legacy is by invoking
nationalistic pride by pushing the country into
another war and unlike the Iran-Iraq war this
time they're paving the way for the return of
the Twelfth Imam.
From challenging the world to enhancing Iran's
nuclear programs every issue is implemented for
the arrival of Mahdi. The Islamic Republic is
not vying for war because they're too arrogant
to understand they will be crushed. They're
vying for war because they believe Mahdi will
return to help them defeat the United States and
others who dare stand up to them. Ahmadinejad
and Company's Armageddon may be coming to a
theater near you and it's probably the scariest
movie we'll ever see unless we aggressively
invest in the overthrow of the regime before its
debut appearance.
Experts differ on how to deal with Iran
By Alexis Fabbri
Jun 5, 2006
From Monsters and
Critics.com
Middle East News
http://news.monstersandcritics.com/middleeast/article_1169968.php/Experts_differ_on_how_to_deal_with_Iran
WASHINGTON,
DC, United States (UPI) -- Experts are divided
in whether Iran will seek to head off a
confrontation with the West over its nuclear
program.
A conference last
week at the Brookings Institution, a Washington
think tank, heard conflicting assessments on how
Tehran was likely to react to the latest
proposals presented to them about dismantling
their nuclear program from the United States and
the European Union Trio, or EU3 nations of
Britain, France and Germany.
Ali Jalali, former
Interior Minister of Afghanistan, told the
conference said he felt optimistic that Iran
would accept some form of compromise.He said he
had had had many chances to talk to ordinary
Iranians and he believed they were more
open-minded than most people in the West think.
\'There is room to change the attitude of
Iran,\' he said.
Jalali said he
could endorse economic sanctions. \'Iran is very
vulnerable economically. Without subsidies,
people cannot make ends meet,\' he said.
If Iran`s already
flailing economy suffers further, it would hurt
Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
politically. The outspoken and often outrageous
Ahmadinejad gained the support of his people
based on promises of economic reform and
recovery. Sanctions would undo his popularity,
Jalali said.
Another option --
military strikes -- must be ruled out, he said.
Even the threat of force could drive Iranians
into activating terrorist cells in sensitive
areas.
\'Iran has the
means to create difficult positions for U.S.
forces in Iraq and Afghanistan,\' Jalali said.
Iran was already funneling money to the Iraqi
insurgency and it bankrolled the Shiite
Hezbollah militia in southern Lebanon, he said.
Armed conflict
would also alienate potential U.S. supporters in
Iran. Jalali said. \'It`s difficult to imagine
that the military solution would be the
answer,\' he said.
Avraham Poraz,
former interior minister of Israel and a member
of the Israeli parliament, told the conference
that the Iranians were not likely to accept
whatever terms and restrictions that were laid
out in the international offer.
\'I`m not so
optimistic that (the United States and Europe)
are able to convince (Iran),\' he said.
Israel has been
the target of much of Ahmadinejad`s vitriol. He
has called for Israel to \'be wiped off the
map\' and has denied the holocaust ever took
place.
The irony was
Israel`s own president, Moshe Katsav, was born
in Tehran and is fluent in Persian. The two
countries` diplomats often sit next to each
other at international conferences, where seats
are assigned alphabetically (Iran, Israel),
Poraz said. They never speak, he said.
Poraz said Israel
took some comfort in its proximity to the
Palestinian Authority territories since a
nuclear weapon launched at Israel would most
likely take out some Muslim Palestinians as
well.
However, unlike
Jalali, Poraz said he would not rule out the
military option, even a preemptive strike, he
said.
\'The only
question is what is happening if crazy leaders
have (nuclear weapons),\' he said. \'The reality
is that if Iran has nuclear capability they
might use it and we should not tolerate that,\'
he said. \'I think we should all be worried.\'
Looking at the
Iran situation from the Palestinian perspective,
Rami Nasrallah, head of the board of directors
of the International Peace and Cooperation
Center in East Jerusalem, said more military
action in the Middle East region would hurt his
people. \'The Palestinians are victims of any
conflict,\' he told the conference.
Besides, the
United States` war scorecard seems to have too
many marks in the loss column lately, Nasrallah
said. \'If you would like to add Iran to the
defeats of the Americans, be my guest,\' he
said.
Nasrallah said he
supported the idea of a completely nuclear-free
Middle East, including Israel.
However, Poraz
disagreed. \'The problem with Iran is not
related to whether Israel has an atom bomb.
Israel has had the atomic bomb for 40 years. It
has never used it. The Iranians might use it the
next day when they have it. This is the
problem,\' he said.
Nasrallah said
democracy was the key to change in Iran.
\'Israel is a democracy, so (nuclear weapons)
are allowed. Iran is not a democracy so it is
not allowed. Get Iran a democracy,\' he said.
Lavrov: Military Intervention Against Iran
Prohibited
Published: Monday, June 05, 2006
http://www.zaman.com/?bl=hotnews&alt=&trh=20060605&hn=33746
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said
possible military intervention against Iran was
forbidden according to the agreement signed in
Vienna last week.
Making a statement
to Nezavisimaya newspaper, Lavrov said they
reached a consensus during the meeting, to which
foreign ministers of important countries in the
world participated, on going to Iran with
serious suggestions in Vienna.
Sergei Lavrov
noted that they have taken some very serious
decisions in order to start the negotiations
about the problems concerning suspending Iran’s
uranium enrichment activities in the frame of
the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)
decision.
US
Official Warns Iran from Ankara
By Suleyman Kurt,
Ankara
June 05, 2006
http://www.zaman.com/?bl=international&alt=&hn=33742
US Deputy National Security Advisor Jack Dyer
Crouch, who paid a brief visit lasting a few
hours to Ankara, sent a warning to Iran to find
a solution to the nuclear crisis.
Crouch said Tehran
“will be a part of the process” should it take
into consideration the proposal package agreed
on by the UN Security Council and Germany.
Crouch had
contacts in Turkey’s capital to discuss the
issues of Iran, Iraq and the security of the
Black Sea, meeting with Foreign Ministry
Undersecretary Ali Tuygan and National Security
Council Secretary-General Ambassador Yigit
Alpogan, and he informed Ankara on the package
offered to Iran, terming the proposal as
“sincere.”
“I hope the
Iranians will accept the proposal and sit at the
table for solution,” Crouch said.
Crouch reminded of
EU High Representative Javier Solana’s visit to
Tehran said, “The EU, too, will make a proposal.
We think Iran had better take advantage of these
proposals. If they look at our proposals, they
will see they will be a part of the process.”
The expectation
for Tehran to give a positive reaction was also
confirmed in the talks.
Crouch, to join
the Black Sea Forum for Partnership and
Dialogue-2006 to be held in Romania following
his contacts in Ankara, interpreted Turkey’s
role in the Black Sea as “a leader” and said
this should continue.
Meanwhile, State
Minister Besir Atalay representing Turkey in the
forum, flew to Bucharest.
Atalay said the
initiative of the forum started by Romania will
strengthen cooperation in the Black Sea.
Iran's
China Syndrome
June 05, 2006
The Washington Post
Jackson Diehl
link to original article
In the middle of a
tirade about the pointlessness of talking with
the Bush administration, a senior Iranian
official I met in Tehran last month abruptly
paused and asked if he could speak off the
record. Then he said: "What we need is an
American president who will follow the example
of Richard Nixon going to China."
There in a nutshell is what this Iranian
government, and most Iranians I've spoken to,
fervently desire from the United States: not the
tactical talks offered last week by Secretary of
State Condoleezza Rice but strategic recognition
of Iran as a great civilization and a regional
power that must be treated, like China, as a
"stakeholder" in global affairs. Grant us that,
said the Iranian official I saw, and "just as
with China, you'll find a government that is
more responsive to your concerns, more willing
to play a cooperative role."
It was interesting to hear that pitch from an
officer of a government whose president has
recently invited the United States, aka "global
arrogance," to abandon democracy and accept the
dissolution of Israel. It was a reminder that,
whatever President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad may say
in public, obtaining recognition from Washington
remains one of the Islamic regime's foremost
goals -- and perhaps the most powerful
nonmilitary card the West holds in seeking to
stop Iran's pursuit of nuclear weapons.
But the Nixon-to-China formulation also explains
why U.S.-Iranian talks, though now formally
endorsed by both sides, are more likely than not
to fail, if they happen at all. That's because
Iran and the United States approach the option
of dialogue from opposite sides of the spectrum.
Iran seeks a strategic encounter, a historic
moment of accommodation between two powers. The
United States offers pragmatic bargaining over
single issues, such as the nuclear program and
Iraq.
This disconnect is not new, or limited to the
Bush administration. Previous American feelers
to Iran, by the Reagan and Clinton
administrations, were also aimed at specific
problems, such as American hostages in Lebanon.
Iranian governments have mostly responded by
demanding broad changes in U.S. policy while
refusing to engage on what they see as small
points. A rare exception was Iran's quiet
cooperation with President Bush during the early
months of the U.S. intervention in Afghanistan.
But Iranian officials now bitterly point out
that, in their view, their reward for that
tactical coordination was Bush's "axis of evil"
speech in early 2002, which affirmed the goal of
overthrowing the Islamic regime.
Last week Rice seemed to go out of her way to
rule out the kind of engagement Tehran wants.
"Let's remember what is not happening here," she
said at a press conference. "This is not a
bilateral negotiation between the United States
and Iran on the whole host of issues that would
lead to broader relations between Iran and the
United States. . . . This is not a grand
bargain."
So what, from Iran's point of view, is to be
gained by accepting Rice's offer? There are
possible sanctions to be avoided, of course, and
a few economic benefits to be collected. There
is also, U.S. officials say, a narrow and
twisting path that might lead from bargaining
over uranium enrichment to Iraq, to terrorism in
Israel and democracy in Lebanon, and perhaps
finally to some larger U.S.-Iranian detente. No,
that's not how China has been treated; but
U.S.-Soviet relations were something like that.
At the risk of further infuriating Vice
President Cheney and other White House hawks,
Rice offered the barest hint of this last week:
"The Iranians can, by seriously negotiating
about their nuclear program and seriously coming
to a civil nuclear program that is acceptable to
the international community, begin to change the
relationship that it has with the international
community, change the relationship that it has
with the United States, begin to open the
possibilities for cooperation," she said.
Maybe the Iranians will choose to exploit this
tiny opening, or at least freeze their nuclear
program temporarily so they can avoid a breach
with Europe or Russia and provide their restless
public with the visual of a U.S.-Iranian
handshake. But it's at least as likely that they
won't; that they will hold out in an attempt to
force the Nixon-to-China gesture they really
want.
The question then becomes: Could such a step be
in the American interest? Would it be wise for
Bush, or any president, to recognize Iran's
Shiite Islamic regime as an enduring reality and
a regional power whose interests must be
accommodated in the broader Middle East? Would
such recognition pay off in the form of a stable
and democratic Iraq, or an end to Iranian
support for Palestinian terrorism, or in the
disarmament of Lebanon's Hezbollah movement?
It's hard to find experts on Iran in Washington
who believe that it would. Which is why there
will be no presidential visit to Tehran anytime
in the foreseeable future -- and why an
Iranian-American understanding could remain as
elusive in the next few months as it has over
the past 25 years.
Uppity Minorities
June 01, 2006
The Economist
Middle East & Africa
link to original article
The Islamic
Republic's culture minister is under the cosh
for reacting tardily to last month's publication
of a cartoon, showing a cockroach speaking Azeri
Turkish, which sparked rioting across Iran's
Azeri-dominated north-west.
Members of the Majlis, Iran's parliament, have
threatened to impeach Mustafa Pourmohammadi, the
interior minister, for failing to stem
lawlessness in the part-Baluch south-east. Cast
an eye over western Iran's troubled Kurdish and
Arab regions and you may concur with Rahim
Shahbazi, an Azeri nationalist based in America,
who calls ethnic strife a “nuclear bomb that
will blow away the Iranian regime”.
Several days of protests by Iranian Azeris
peaked on May 25th, when four demonstrators were
killed in the part-Azeri town of Naghadeh. Many
Azeris, the biggest minority in a country
dominated by ethnic Persians, had not been
placated by the banning of the government-owned
newspaper in which the offending cartoon
appeared, nor by the arrest of the cartoonist
and an editor. The killings were only fleetingly
acknowledged by the authorities. An official
account was hastily withdrawn from the newswire
where it was posted.
Iran's Azeris, (perhaps 16m-strong in a
population of 70m-plus) are mostly Shia Muslim
and have not, compared to Sunni minorities, done
badly out of the (Shia) Islamic Republic. Though
schooling in Azeri is not permitted and the
constitution bans private broadcasting in any
language, intermarriage with Persians is
widespread and Azeris are well represented in
Iran's trading and bureaucratic elite. From the
supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei (himself
of Azeri origin) downwards, Iranian officials
have blamed the recent unrest on foreign
“enemies”.
At a time when the American government is
looking for Iranian opposition groups to
support, many Iranians believe such claims. Some
Azeri nationalists in neighbouring Azerbaijan
and others in America used the internet, radio
and television broadcasts to incite protesters
during the unrest. By contrast, neighbouring
Turkey, which also casts a protective eye over
its cousins in Iran, kept mum.
Turkey's restraint is partly due to shared
interests. Kurdish minorities straddle the
border. Emboldened by the autonomy now enjoyed
by Iraq's Kurds, and dispirited by their own
nationalist parties, some Iranian Kurds were
thrilled last year when Abdullah Ocalan, the
jailed leader of Turkey's Kurdish rebel
movement, called for a region-wide
confederation. Since then, according to Kurds
from Sanandaj, the capital of the Iranian
province of Kurdistan, scores of recruits have
crossed into Iraq to join the Party for Free
Life in Kurdistan (PJAK), an Iranian' subsidiary
of Mr Ocalan's Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK).
Both groups are based in northern Iraq.
Iranian Kurds, especially the Sunni majority,
complain that discrimination hurts their
promotion chances in the local bureaucracy. In
the words of a prominent Iranian Kurdish
academic, they “loathe” the state's
pro-government Kurdish-language television
station. Many Kurds tune in to Roj TV, which
carries PJAK propaganda.
The PJAK's popularity has gone up since a
Kurdish criminal suspect died at the hands of
Iran's security forces last summer, causing much
rioting. A Kurdish group says the security
forces killed ten demonstrators in a single
incident in February.
The Turks were unbothered by Iran's bombardment
of suspected PJAK positions in Iraq last month.
The Iranians have handed over captured PKK
fighters to the Turks, and both countries
recently massed troops near the border where
Turkey, Iran and Iraq all meet. No government
thinks it can seal these mountain border areas,
a paradise for smugglers. But the Turks and
Iranians aim to intimidate the PKK's Kurdish
hosts in Iraq and their American overlords into
reining in Mr Ocalan's cohorts.
From one side to the other
At the opposite end of the country, along Iran's
border with Afghanistan and Pakistan, the
security forces are also being stretched—by
dozens of bandit groups and particularly by the
savagery of Abdolmalek Rigi, a young Baluch who
kills in cold blood in the name of his vaunted
ideals, Sunni Islam and Baluchi nationalism.
Iran has 4m-plus Baluchis.
Last winter, Mr Rigi's Jundullah, or Soldiers of
God, kidnapped nine Iranian soldiers, one of
whom they later killed. In March, they held up a
convoy and slaughtered 22 people, including
officials in the provincial administration of
Sistan and Baluchistan. Last month, a similar
raid, for which Mr Rigi did not claim
responsibility, killed 12 people.
Mr Rigi, who is given publicity by some Arabic
TV stations, denies that he trafficks in any of
the Afghan opiates that traverse the region in
vast quantities; his motives, he insists, are
political. According to Mr Pourmohammadi, he
flees into Pakistani Baluchistan, where
President Pervez Musharraf is struggling to put
down an insurgency of his own, with impunity.
In the case of Mr Rigi's attacks, and a series
of bomb blasts over the past year in the
part-Arab province of Khuzestan, which borders
southern Iraq, the Iranians at first blamed the
British and Americans—without offering proof.
Moreover, the Iranians' lightning response to
such atrocities does not suggest painstaking
detective work. Not all Iranians were convinced,
for instance, by the broadcast confessions of
two Arabs later executed for alleged involvement
in the blasts in Khuzestan, home to some 2m Arab
Iranians. Mr Rigi has appeared on foreign
channels to rebut Iranian claims that he has
been killed.
Amid daily boasts of captures, deaths and
brilliant punitive operations, Iranian officials
never admit the role of chronic unemployment and
poverty, not to mention Iran's institutionalised
distrust of minorities, in stoking the unrest.
In Sanandaj, for instance, university graduates
may find themselves choosing between manual
labour and a life in the hills with PJAK. “Is it
surprising”, the academic asks, “that some
choose the latter?” It certainly deters would-be
investors. Rio Tinto, an Anglo-Australian mining
company, recently said it was withdrawing from a
gold-mining project in Kurdistan.
“In these cases of minority unrest,” observes a
seasoned diplomat from a country bordering Iran,
“you see the effects of America's invasion of
Afghanistan and Iraq.” Sandwiched between
countries in a state of flux, whose own
minorities sense an opportunity, Iran's border
areas are vulnerable. Crucially, though, the
instability has yet to affect Iran's populous
central areas, where Persians are a big
majority.
In a fractious discussion among Iranian exiles
last winter at the American Enterprise
Institute, a right-wing think-tank in
Washington, it was plain that Iran's mainstream
opposition groups are as hostile to minority
irredentism as the Islamic Republic is. For all
the unrest around its edges, Iran's heartland
remains strong, centralised, and unsympathetic
to uppity minorities. Iran's nuclear bomb, if it
comes, is unlikely to be aimed inwards.
EU's Solana to Present Iran with Nuclear
Proposal
June
05, 2006
CNN News
CNN.com
link to original article
The European Union's foreign policy chief is set
to meet with Iranian leaders in Tehran in an
effort to end a standoff with the West over the
nation's controversial nuclear program. Javier
Solana will arrive Monday night, according to
his spokeswoman, and hold talks the next day
with Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki and Ali
Larijani, the head Iran's Supreme National
Security Council.
Six world powers -- Germany and the five
veto-wielding members of the U.N. Security
Council -- last week agreed on a package of
incentives if Iran stops uranium enrichment, or
penalties if it refuses.
Solana is to present the package to Iranian
officials during Tuesday's meetings.
Washington has no diplomatic relations with
Iran, which U.S. President George W. Bush
branded part of an "axis of evil."
However, the United States last week agreed to
join European allies in negotiations with Tehran
if Iran suspends its uranium enrichment program
and resumes full cooperation with the
International Atomic Energy Agency.
The Islamic republic says it wants to pursue
nuclear power for peaceful purposes, but the
United States and the EU believe it harbors
aspirations to be armed with nuclear weapons.
On Sunday, Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali
Khamenei said that any "misbehavior" directed at
Iran would serve to disrupt Persian Gulf
shipments.
"In order to threaten Iran, you say that you can
guarantee movements of oil through this region,"
he said, referring to shipments that pass
through the strategic Strait of Hormuz near Iran
and other countries.
About 17 million barrels a day -- 20 percent of
the world's daily needs -- leave the Gulf region
via oil tankers using the narrow passageway.
The United States "should know that the
slightest misbehavior on your part would
endanger the region's energy security," he said.
"You are not capable of guaranteeing energy
security in this region."
Khamenei -- speaking on the 17th anniversary of
the death of Ayatollah Khomeini, who spearheaded
the establishment of the Islamic republic in
1979 -- did not specify what he meant by
disruption or misbehavior.
His comment sent oil prices surging above $73 a
barrel.
U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice
deflected concerns about Khamenei's remarks.
"We're not going to react to every statement
that comes out of Iran," she told CNN's "Late
Edition."
"The oil card -- well, let's just remember that
Iran is some 80 percent dependent on oil in its
budget" and would be unable to handle a
disruption, she said.
"That diplomatic process needs to work now with
Iran being given the proposal that the six
parties put together in Vienna, with Iran
recognizing that it now has a path ahead that
would allow an end to this impasse," Rice said.
"But also that the international community is
committed to a second path should that first
path not work."
Rice refused to lay out a timetable for Iran to
respond to the latest overture, saying, "I don't
believe in setting timelines and deadlines. The
only point here is that this can't be endless.
The Iranian program is progressing, and the
international community needs to know if there
is a negotiating option that really has life in
it."
Rice also rejected assertions by Iranian leaders
that the West is trying to prevent Iran from
having nuclear energy.
"If what Iran is looking for is civil nuclear
technology, a peaceful program with civil
nuclear technology, no one is trying to deny
them that," she said.
"They've said from time to time that they have a
right to civil nuclear, to a civil nuclear
program. We accept that."
"The question is, can they have a civil nuclear
program that does not have the proliferation
risk associated with having ... certain
fuel-cycle technologies on Iranian territory?"
No compromise on enrichment program
Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said
Saturday his country is ready to hold "fair and
unconditional" talks with the West on Iran's
nuclear issue, according to the state-run
Islamic Republic News Agency.
Ahmadinejad, who spoke to thousands gathered at
Khomeini's shrine, repeated that Iran will not
compromise on its right to enrich uranium for
peaceful purposes, the news agency said.
But Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki said
Iran will formally announce its views on the
incentives package after it has been studied.
Ahmadinejad, a hard-line conservative, has
sparked international outrage with some of his
previous comments denying the Holocaust and
calling for the destruction of Israel.
Khamenei -- who didn't mention the diplomatic
offer from the six nations -- insisted that the
country "is not pursuing a nuclear bomb" and
said "we have no intention of war with any
government."
"We have no plans that would require us to have
a bomb. This is against Islamic principles.
Building and maintaining a nuclear bomb costs a
lot, and we do not need this," he said.
"We are no threat to anyone, but we are
dedicated and committed to our national
interests and aspirations," he said. "But if
anyone wants to stop us, they will feel the
wrath and anger of this nation.".
-- CNN's Shirzad Bozorghmehr contributed to this
report.
`Next Chapter' for U.S. is Push to Foment Change
in Iran
May 31, 2006
Chicago Tribune
Cam Simpson
link to original article
The face of the
Bush administration's new favorite weapon
against Iran's cleric-dominated regime has the
cheekbones of a Vogue cover girl.
Once a week, digital bits carrying new images
and the Persian voice of Luna Shad - an
Iran-born actress who spent her formative years
in Paris, wears knee-high boots and carries a
Louis Vuitton handbag - rain down from
American-leased satellites and are collected in
antenna dishes across Iran.
Although it's probably little more than an
educated guess, U.S. officials say up to 2
million Iranians may be watching Shad's
30-minute broadcast, "Next Chapter," as she
introduces a story about underground garage
bands. It follows her piece on a political
psychologist who dissects Iranian President
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad along with North Korean
dictator Kim Jong Il and Saddam Hussein.
"Next Chapter," is aimed at Iran's youth. But
the demographics aren't about appealing to
advertisers. The show's sponsor, the U.S.
government, is trying to foment change in Iran.
The Bush administration is moving urgently to
deal with Iran, a nation that poses what many
believe to be the most vexing foreign policy
challenge facing the United States. But it is
Shad's U.S.-sponsored broadcast and others like
it that are to be the most costly and visible
beneficiaries of the administration's latest
push, despite questions about their
effectiveness.
With Tehran's nuclear program grabbing world
attention, the administration is seeking $75
million in emergency funding from Congress to
counter the clerics, the ultimate
decision-makers in Iran. The request represents
a dramatic shift for a White House that
previously had all but ignored attempts to
influence events in Iran; just three years ago
it invested only $1.5 million on "democracy
promotion."
About 10 times that amount, or $15 million,
would go toward such programs under the current
request, mainly via groups that work with
reformers. Independent-appearing "surrogate"
news media would be seeded with about $20
million more.
The biggest pot, however, would bolster existing
Persian-language television and radio programs
directly financed by American taxpayers, such as
"Next Chapter." Shad's show is produced by the
Persian desk of Voice of America in Washington,
which would share roughly $30 million of the
emergency funding with Radio Farda, another U.S.
government-financed Persian service.
The $75 million request is contained in
emergency appropriations legislation for Iraq
and Hurricane Katrina. The House pared the Iran
request to $56 million, but more money for
broadcasts such as Shad's remains untouched. The
Senate version includes all $75 million.
No matter which one wins out, Washington looks
like it wants to spend money on Iran in a
fashion not seen since 1953, when Kermit
Roosevelt Jr., the grandson of Theodore
Roosevelt, passed out CIA-supplied cash on the
streets of Tehran to stoke the coup that brought
Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi to power.
The means today are dramatically different. And
Shad, like many of her colleagues, rejects the
notion that she's selling regime change.
"What I try to do is just give them information
on all sides, so they can just choose
themselves," Shad says.
Staffers at Voice of America also recoil at the
suggestion they might feel more pressure under
the growing gaze of an eager White House.
Yet Shad, so youthful-looking at 34 that she
could be mistaken for a teen in her target
audience, also says that her "soft approach" of
blending politics and culture may be a greater
challenge for Tehran than a blatant propaganda
campaign, especially given that more than half
of Iran's population was born after the 1979
Islamic Revolution.
"Culture is always the best way to have an
impact on people," Shad said during an interview
at VOA studios in Washington where her show is
taped.
U.S.-financed international broadcasts have
bounced about the globe since World War II. They
were a Washington favorite during the Cold War,
including at the CIA, which funded radio
programming as part of its psychological warfare
campaign against communists.
But when the Soviet Union collapsed, so did some
of the enthusiasm for taxpayer-funded
broadcasts.
Washington reinvigorated such broadcasting after
the terrorist attacks of Sept. 11, 2001,
launching Arabic-language radio and satellite
television networks in an effort to burnish
America's image across much of the Middle East.
The Government Accountability Office says it now
is examining questions about the effectiveness
of the two 24-hour operations, Alhurra satellite
television (it means "the free one") and Radio
Sawa, though the Bush administration strongly
supports them.
Well before the administration's current
emergency funding request for Persian
programming, the growing sense of urgency about
Iran had landed at the Broadcasting Board of
Governors, which oversees all foreign
broadcasting efforts. Given the political
popularity within Washington of the Arabic
channels, it seemed inevitable that similar
enthusiasm would spread to Persian broadcasts
because of the growing confrontation with Iran.
In 2003, the BBG's controversial Republican
chairman, Kenneth Tomlinson, called Washington
from a board meeting in Prague to urgently order
the Voice of America's main Persian-language
television show to go daily from once a week. In
the fall of 2004, Tomlinson persuaded
then-National Security Adviser Condoleezza Rice
to push for funding that would allow VOA to
boost its Persian-language television
programming from just nine original hours per
week to 28 per week.
Even without the emergency funding, Shad's show
is scheduled to go daily this summer. Executives
at VOA envision it also going "newsier," while
maintaining its youthful edge. Think Anderson
Cooper, in Persian and with Shad, instead of the
CNN star.
Emergency funds would allow for other new
programs and enhance existing shows like hers.
Although these efforts are openly compared
within the administration to Cold War
anti-communist broadcasts, David Jackson, the
VOA chief, insisted in a recent interview that
his journalists do not do anyone's political
bidding.
Earlier this month, Jackson brought his mantra
on VOA's independence to a forum on Iran
broadcasting at American University, where he
faced skeptical Iranian expatriates.
For some of them the tableau evoked by a
Washington-financed media effort includes images
from their own tumultuous past, such as American
bribes paid to Iranian journalists in the 1950s,
and by the more recent experiences in
neighboring Iraq. There, the Bush administration
allegedly used similar inducements to finance
friendly coverage of the occupation.
"Nobody, but nobody, in Iran believes that
state-funded broadcasters could act
independently," said Roya Kashefi, an Iranian
who moderated Jackson's panel. She heads the
London office of the Association of Iranian
Researchers.
Her group broadcast Jackson's panel on the
Internet. She says 31,000 people in Iran tuned
in. When it was over, she said, many of them
inundated her office with e-mails complaining
about Jackson and a State Department official,
Alberto Fernandez, who heads Iran public
diplomacy efforts.
"It was amazing," Kashefi says.
But Shireen Hunter, an Iranian scholar and
expert at Georgetown University, says the
broadcasting efforts may be the only tool at
America's disposal.
"I'm not against it at all," Hunter said. "It's
important that we maintain at least some kind of
contact with that society. All I am saying is we
shouldn't expect too much from it."
Shad says her major concern about the new
attention is that she won't meet her own
expectations.
"Right now the quality is very good," she says.
"We have to keep it that way."
Iran:
Prominent Journalist Receives Press Freedom
Award In Moscow
By Golnaz
Esfandiari
http://www.rferl.org/featuresarticle/2006/06/A3E1B276-3994-4E5A-89BE-5F2B6B6986EA.html
|
 |
|
Akbar
Ganji after receiving his Golden Pen
award on June 5 |
|
(epa) |
One of Iran’s best-known investigative
journalists, Akbar Ganji, was at a Moscow
ceremony today to receive the World Association
of Newspapers' (WAN) Golden Pen of Freedom
award. Ganji has spent the past six years in
jail for articles that implicated senior Iranian
officials in the killing of dissident
intellectuals in 1998. In presenting the award,
the World Association of Newspapers called on
Iranian authorities to respect its citizens'
right to free _expression. Ganji remains
outspoken in his defense of human rights and a
free press.
PRAGUE, June 5, 2006 (RFE/RL) -- Ganji dedicated
his award to the casualties of the "series" of
killings in 1998 and what he suggests is the
subsequent cover-up.
“This prize should go to those who on the path
of fighting for freedom and human rights were
slaughtered during the serial murders," he told
attendees of today's ceremony.
Authorities have blamed the deaths on rogue
elements in the Intelligence Ministry. But Ganji
-- in articles and in a compilation titled
"Dungeon Of Ghosts" -- has implicated senior
Iranian officials. They include former President
Ali-Akbar Hashemi-Rafsanjani -- who now chairs
the powerful Expediency Council -- and former
Intelligence Minister Ali Falahian.
Dedicated To
The Victims
Speaking today, Ganji dedicated his prize to the
political prisoners who were executed in prisons
across Iran in late 1980s and to other victims
of human rights abuses.
Ganji
and his wife after his release from prison on
March 18 (Fars)“This prize belongs to all of
those who were tortured and paralyzed merely
because they worked in journalism and defended
freedom of thought," Ganji said. "The prize
should go to all the dissidents who were
imprisoned in past years and deprived of their
social rights. The prize should belong to all
those [critics and independent thinkers] who,
because they dare to think differently, have
been forced into exile and continue to live
while remembering Iran and cannot return to the
country.”
Ganji also said he accepted the prize on behalf
of the groups that are fighting for human rights
in Iran.
Punished, Not
Silenced
Ganji was sentenced to six years in prison in
2001 on several charges, including threatening
Iranian national security and insulting the
country's leaders. He was released in March.
He spent most of his prison term in solitary
confinement while reportedly being pressured to
give up his writing and opinions.
Ganji launched a hunger strike in 2005 to demand
his release that lasted more than 40 days. While
on medical leave last year, he called for a
boycott of Iran’s presidential elections.
Ganji
during his hunger strike in July 2005 (courtesy
photo)Ganji published a two-volume book from
prison in which he challenged the authority of
Iran's supreme leader and said real democracy
cannot be achieved under the country's current
system.
In Moscow today, Ganji said his slogan in
fighting oppression and violence is, “Forgive,
but never forget." Ganji also urged his audience
to remember the conditions that led to the
creation of fascism and totalitarianism, and
other forms of dictatorship.
More
Appearances, Then Back To Iran
After his trip to Moscow, Ganji is scheduled to
continue his international travels for
appearances in Germany, Italy, and the United
States.
In an interview with Radio Farda today, he vowed
to return to his homeland, where -- despite his
persistent calls for justice and reform in the
highest echelons of power -- he does not fear
arrest.
“Today more than 1,700 representatives of
important newspapers and publications were here.
They all gave me a warm welcome," Ganji told
Radio Farda. "The ambassadors of different
countries, even Islamic countries, also
expressed their solidarity. And some of them
asked me with humor, 'Why is the Iranian
ambassador not present?' There is moral
international support for Iranian free thinkers;
but at the same time whoever fights for
democracy, freedom, and human rights in
countries like Iran should know that there are
threats and there is a price to pay for
democracy. I’ve been six years and three months
in prison, and I’m used to the life there.”
Ganji is the second Iranian journalist to have
won the Golden Pen of Freedom award. In 1999,
Faraj Sarkuhi received the award. Sarkuhi is the
former editor of "Adineh" magazine, and now
lives in exile in Germany.
Embassy of Iran issued statement on printing
caricatures of religious and state leaders of
Iran in the Azerbaijani press
05 Jun. 2006
http://en.apa.az/news.php?id=10618
Embassy of Islamic Republic of Iran in
Azerbaijan has issued a statement on printing
caricatures of Imam Khomeini, Ayatollah Khamnei,
ex and present presidents’ caricatures in
Azerbaijani press.
The statement entered APA states that publishing
of such humiliating caricatures is not relevant
to any divine religion, human religion; this is
abuse of media freedom. The embassy evaluates
this as continuation of disrespect of Shiah
imams’ tomb in Iraq, creating of confrontation
in ethical base in Iran, states it as bad deeds
of America and Zionist circles. “The embassy is
grateful to Azerbaijani government for the
urgent measures to prevent such cases and
reminds that the better part of Iran people
expect the punishment of those committing this
act.” /APA/