۲۰۰۵

may 29, 2006

 
 

news summery

 

 

Shah's son urges action on Iran

Tue May 30, 2006

http://today.reuters.co.uk/News/newsArticle.aspx?type=worldNews&storyID=2006-05-30T022154Z_01_N29370107_RTRUKOC_0_UK-PAHLAVI.xml

POTOMAC, Maryland (Reuters) - The exiled son of Iran's late shah on Monday called on the Bush administration to put action before rhetoric in ousting Tehran's Islamic regime, which he said has long been the source of global instability.

Reza Pahlavi, 45, the eldest son of the late Mohammed Reza Pahlavi, said Iranians are ready to actively oppose the Islamic regime of Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, but need more than pro-democratic utterances from world leaders like U.S. President George W. Bush.

"Fantastic, we love to hear that, motherhood and apple pie," Pahlavi said of Bush's statements that the United States supports a free, democratic Iran.

"What remains to be seen again is in what concrete way the U.S. administration will take the necessary steps," Pahlavi told Reuters in an interview at his home in a suburb of Washington, flanked by the Iranian flag and portraits of his mother and father, the U.S.-backed monarch who was deposed in the 1979 Islamic revolution.

The United States and other nations should actively support Iran's dissident groups and give them the technical gear and expertise to get their message out, Pahlavi said.

Pahlavi said regime change in Iran will leave the Middle East a safer place, and said that Iran's clerics have long been a prime mover behind violence in Iraq, Lebanon and Sudan.

"For 27 years we have seen the world sending their firetrucks to try to extinguish fires all over the planet," he said. "But nobody has asked the question 'Who is the main culprit?' ... When you come to think of it, it has been Tehran all along."

The United States and Iran are at odds over Western accusations that Iran's nuclear program is a cover for making weapons. Iran says it wants to use the enriched uranium for electricity generation.

Pahlavi, who trained in the United States as a jet fighter pilot, said Iran has the right to nuclear technology, but not to threaten other nations with it.

"It was never a question of Iran having the right -- the problem is the finger on the trigger," he said, referring to Ahmadinejad's public calls for Israel's destruction.

However, Pahlavi said the United States should not pursue military means to take away Iran's uranium-enrichment capability. Bush has said military options are on the table but has stressed the need for diplomatic talks.

Instead of a military strike, Pahlavi said global leaders should help Iran dissident groups' overthrow the current regime from within.

Spiegel Interview With Ahmadinejad: "We Are Determined"

May 30, 2006
Spiegel
Interview conducted by Stefan Aust, Gerhard Spörl and Dieter Bednarz in Tehran

link to original article

In an interview with SPIEGEL, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad discusses the Holocaust, the future of the state of Israel, mistakes made by the United States in Iraq and Tehran's nuclear conflict with the West.

SPIEGEL: Mr. President, you are a soccer fan and you like to play soccer. Will you be sitting in the stadium in Nuremberg on June 11, when the Iranian national team plays against Mexico in Germany?

Ahmadinejad: It depends. Naturally, I'll be watching the game in any case. I don't know yet whether I'll be at home in front of the television set or somewhere else. My decision depends upon a number of things.

SPIEGEL: For example?

Ahmadinejad: How much time I have, how the state of various relationships are going, whether I feel like it and a number of other things.

SPIEGEL: There was great indignation in Germany when it became known that you might be coming to the soccer world championship. Did that surprise you?

Ahmadinejad: No, that's not important. I didn't even understand how that came about. It also had no meaning for me. I don't know what all the excitement is about.

SPIEGEL: It concerned your remarks about the Holocaust. It was inevitable that the Iranian president's denial of the systematic murder of the Jews by the Germans would trigger outrage.

Ahmadinejad: I don't exactly understand the connection.

SPIEGEL: First you make your remarks about the Holocaust. Then comes the news that you may travel to Germany -- this causes an uproar. So you were surprised after all?

Ahmadinejad: No, not at all, because the network of Zionism is very active around the world, in Europe too. So I wasn't surprised. We were addressing the German people. We have nothing to do with Zionists.

SPIEGEL: Denying the Holocaust is punishable in Germany. Are you indifferent when confronted with so much outrage?

Ahmadinejad: I know that DER SPIEGEL is a respected magazine. But I don't know whether it is possible for you to publish the truth about the Holocaust. Are you permitted to write everything about it?

SPIEGEL: Of course we are entitled to write about the findings of the past 60 years' historical research. In our view there is no doubt that the Germans -- unfortunately -- bear the guilt for the murder of 6 million Jews.

Ahmadinejad: Well, then we have stirred up a very concrete discussion. We are posing two very clear questions. The first is: Did the Holocaust actually take place? You answer this question in the affirmative. So, the second question is: Whose fault was it? The answer to that has to be found in Europe and not in Palestine. It is perfectly clear: If the Holocaust took place in Europe, one also has to find the answer to it in Europe.

On the other hand, if the Holocaust didn't take place, why then did this regime of occupation ...

SPIEGEL: ... You mean the state of Israel...

Ahmadinejad: ... come about? Why do the European countries commit themselves to defending this regime? Permit me to make one more point. We are of the opinion that, if an historical occurrence conforms to the truth, this truth will be revealed all the more clearly if there is more research into it and more discussion about it.

SPIEGEL: That has long since happened in Germany.

Ahmadinejad: We don't want to confirm or deny the Holocaust. We oppose every type of crime against any people. But we want to know whether this crime actually took place or not. If it did, then those who bear the responsibility for it have to be punished, and not the Palestinians. Why isn't research into a deed that occurred 60 years ago permitted? After all, other historical occurrences, some of which lie several thousand years in the past, are open to research, and even the governments support this.

SPIEGEL: Mr. President, with all due respect, the Holocaust occurred, there were concentration camps, there are dossiers on the extermination of the Jews, there has been a great deal of research, and there is neither the slightest doubt about the Holocaust nor about the fact - we greatly regret this - that the Germans are responsible for it. If we may now add one remark: the fate of the Palestinians is an entirely different issue, and this brings us into the present.

Ahmadinejad: No, no, the roots of the Palestinian conflict must be sought in history. The Holocaust and Palestine are directly connected with one another. And if the Holocaust actually occurred, then you should permit impartial groups from the whole world to research this. Why do you restrict the research to a certain group? Of course, I don't mean you, but rather the European governments.

SPIEGEL: Are you still saying that the Holocaust is just "a myth?"

Ahmadinejad: I will only accept something as truth if I am actually convinced of it.

SPIEGEL: Even though no Western scholars harbor any doubt about the Holocaust?

Ahmadinejad: But there are two opinions on this in Europe. One group of scholars or persons, most of them politically motivated, say the Holocaust occurred. Then there is the group of scholars who represent the opposite position and have therefore been imprisoned for the most part. Hence, an impartial group has to come together to investigate and to render an opinion on this very important subject, because the clarification of this issue will contribute to the solution of global problems. Under the pretext of the Holocaust, a very strong polarization has taken place in the world and fronts have been formed. It would therefore be very good if an international and impartial group looked into the matter in order to clarify it once and for all. Normally, governments promote and support the work of researchers on historical events and do not put them in prison.

SPIEGEL: Who is that supposed to be? Which researchers do you mean?

Ahmadinejad: You would know this better than I; you have the list. There are people from England, from Germany, France and from Australia.

SPIEGEL: You presumably mean, for example, the Englishman David Irving, the German-Canadian Ernst Zündel, who is on trial in Mannheim, and the Frenchman Georges Theil, all of whom deny the Holocaust.

Ahmadinejad: The mere fact that my comments have caused such strong protests, although I'm not a European, and also the fact that I have been compared with certain persons in German history indicates how charged with conflict the atmosphere for research is in your country. Here in Iran you needn't worry.

SPIEGEL: Well, we are conducting this historical debate with you for a very timely purpose. Are you questioning Israel's right to exist?

Ahmadinejad: Look here, my views are quite clear. We are saying that if the Holocaust occurred, then Europe must draw the consequences and that it is not Palestine that should pay the price for it. If it did not occur, then the Jews have to go back to where they came from. I believe that the German people today are also prisoners of the Holocaust. Sixty million people died in the Second World War. World War II was a gigantic crime. We condemn it all. We are against bloodshed, regardless of whether a crime was committed against a Muslim or against a Christian or a Jew. But the question is: Why among these 60 million victims are only the Jews the center of attention?

SPIEGEL: That's just not the case. All peoples mourn the victims claimed by the Second World War, Germans and Russians and Poles and others as well. Yet, we as Germans cannot absolve ourselves of a special guilt, namely for the systematic murder of the Jews. But perhaps we should now move on to the next subject.

Ahmadinejad: No, I have a question for you. What kind of a role did today's youth play in World War II?

SPIEGEL: None.

Ahmadinejad: Why should they have feelings of guilt toward Zionists? Why should the costs of the Zionists be paid out of their pockets? If people committed crimes in the past, then they would have to have been tried 60 years ago. End of story! Why must the German people be humiliated today because a group of people committed crimes in the name of the Germans during the course of history?

SPIEGEL: The German people today can't do anything about it. But there is a sort of collective shame for those deeds done in the German name by our fathers or grandfathers.

Ahmadinejad: How can a person who wasn't even alive at the time be held legally responsible?

SPIEGEL: Not legally but morally.

Ahmadinejad: Why is such a burden heaped on the German people? The German people of today bear no guilt. Why are the German people not permitted the right to defend themselves? Why are the crimes of one group emphasized so greatly, instead of highlighting the great German cultural heritage? Why should the Germans not have the right to express their opinion freely?

SPIEGEL: Mr. President, we are well aware that German history is not made up of only the 12 years of the Third Reich. Nevertheless, we have to accept that horrible crimes have been committed in the German name. We also own up to this, and it is a great achievement of the Germans in post-war history that they have grappled critically with their past.

Ahmadinejad: Are you also prepared to tell that to the German people?

SPIEGEL: Oh yes, we do that.

Ahmadinejad: Then would you also permit an impartial group to ask the German people whether it shares your opinion? No people accepts its own humiliation.

SPIEGEL: All questions are allowed in our country. But of course there are right-wing radicals in Germany who are not only anti-Semitic, but xenophobic as well, and we do indeed consider them a threat.

Ahmadinejad: Let me ask you one thing: How much longer can this go on? How much longer do you think the German people have to accept being taken hostage by the Zionists? When will that end - in 20, 50, 1,000 years?

SPIEGEL: We can only speak for ourselves. DER SPIEGEL is nobody's hostage; SPIEGEL does not deal only with Germany's past and the Germans' crimes. We're not Israel's uncritical ally in the Palestian conflict. But we want to make one thing very clear: We are critical, we are independent, but we won't simply stand by without protest when the existential right of the state of Israel, where many Holocaust survivors live, is being questioned.

Ahmadinejad: Precisely that is our point. Why should you feel obliged to the Zionists? If there really had been a Holocaust, Israel ought to be located in Europe, not in Palestine.

SPIEGEL: Do you want to resettle a whole people 60 years after the end of the war?

Ahmadinejad: Five million Palestinians have not had a home for 60 years. It is amazing really: You have been paying reparations for the Holocaust for 60 years and will have to keep paying up for another 100 years. Why then is the fate of the Palestinians no issue here?

SPIEGEL: The Europeans support the Palestinians in many ways. After all, we also have an historic responsibility to help bring peace to this region finally. But don't you share that responsibility?

Ahmadinejad: Yes, but aggression, occupation and a repetition of the Holocaust won't bring peace. What we want is a sustainable peace. This means that we have to tackle the root of the problem. I am pleased to note that you are honest people and admit that you are obliged to support the Zionists.

SPIEGEL: That's not what we said, Mr. President.

Ahmadinejad: You said Israelis.

SPIEGEL: Mr. President, we're talking about the Holocaust because we want to talk about the possible nuclear armament of Iran -- which is why the West sees you as a threat.

Ahmadinejad: Some groups in the West enjoy calling things or people a threat. Of course you're free to make your own judgment.

SPIEGEL: The key question is: Do you want nuclear weapons for your country?

Ahmadinejad: Allow me to encourage a discussion on the following question: How long do you think the world can be governed by the rhetoric of a handful of Western powers? Whenever they hold something against someone, they start spreading propaganda and lies, defamation and blackmail. How much longer can that go on?

SPIEGEL: We're here to find out the truth. The head of state of a neighboring country, for example, told SPIEGEL: "They are very keen on building the bomb." Is that true?

Ahmadinejad: You see, we conduct our discussions with you and the European governments on an entirely different, higher level. In our view, the legal system whereby a handful of countries force their will on the rest of the world is discriminatory and unstable. One-hundred and thirty-nine countries, including us, are members of the International Atomic Energy Authority (IAEA) in Vienna. Both the statutes of IAEA and the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty as well as all security agreements grant the member countries the right to produce nuclear fuel for peaceful purposes. That is the legitimate legal right of any people. Beyond this, however, IAEA was also established to promote the disarmament of those powers that already possessed nuclear weapons. And now look at what's happening today: Iran has had an excellent cooperation with IAEA. We have had more than 2,000 inspections of our plants, and the inspectors have obtained more than 1,000 pages of documentation from us. Their cameras are installed in our nuclear centers. IAEA has emphasized in all its reports that there are no indications of any irregularities in Iran. That is one side of this matter.

SPIEGEL: IAEA doesn't quite share your view of this matter.

Ahmadinejad: But the other side is that there are a number of countries that possess both nuclear energy and nuclear weapons. They use their atomic weapons to threaten other peoples. And it is these powers who say that they are worried about Iran deviating from the path of peaceful use of atomic energy. We say that these powers are free to monitor us if they are worried. But what these powers say is that the Iranians must not complete the nuclear fuel cycle because deviation from peaceful use might then be possible. What we say is that these countries themselves have long deviated from peaceful usage. These powers have no right to talk to us in this manner. This order is unjust and unsustainable.

SPIEGEL: But, Mr. President, the key question is: How dangerous will this world become if even more countries become nuclear powers -- if a country like Iran, whose president makes threats, builds the bomb in a crisis-ridden region?

Ahmadinejad: We're fundamentally opposed to the expansion of nucleaar-weapons arsenals. This is why we have proposed the formation of an unbiased organization and the disarmament of the nuclear powers. We don't need any weapons. We're a civilized, cultured people, and our history shows that we have never attacked another country.

SPIEGEL: Iran doesn't need the bomb that it wants to build?

Ahmadinejad: It's interesting to note that European nations wanted to allow the shah's dictatorship the use of nuclear technology. That was a dangerous regime. Yet those nations were willing to supply it with nuclear technology. Ever since the Islamic Republic has existed, however, these powers have been opposed to it. I stress once again, we don't need any nuclear weapons.

We stand by our statements because we're honest and act legally. We're no fraudsters. We only want to claim our legitimate right. Incidentally, I never threatened anyone - that, too, is part of the propaganda machine that you've got running against me.

SPIEGEL: If this were so, shouldn't you be making an effort to ensure that no one need fear your producing nuclear weapons that you might use against Israel, thus possibly unleashing a world war? You're sitting on a tinderbox, Mr. President.

Ahmadinejad: Allow me to say two things. No people in the region are afraid of us. And no one should instill fear in these peoples. We believe that if the United States and these two or three European countries did not interfere, the peoples in this region would live peacefully together as they did in the thousands of years before. In 1980, it was also the nations of Europe and the United States that encouraged Saddam Hussein to attack us.

Our stance with respect to Palestine is clear. We say: Allow those to whom this country belongs to express their opinion. Let Jews, Christians and Muslims say what they think. The opponents of this proposal prefer war and threaten the region. Why are the United States and these two or three European nations opposed to this? I believe that those who imprison Holocaust researchers prefer war to peace. Our stance is democratic and peaceful.

SPIEGEL: The Palestinians have long gone a step further than you and recognize Israel as a fact, while you still wish to erase it from the map. The Palestinians are ready to accept a two-state solution while you deny Israel its right to existence.

Ahmadinejad: You're wrong. You saw that the Palestinian people elected Hamas in free elections. We argue that neither you nor we should claim to speak for the Palestian people. The Palestinians themselves should say what they want. In Europe it is customary to call a referendum on any issue. We should also give the Palestinians the opportunity to express their opinion.

SPIEGEL: The Palestinians have the right to their own state, but in our view the Israelis naturally have the same right.

Ahmadinejad: Where did the Israelis come from?

SPIEGEL: Well, if we tried to work out where people have come from, the Europeans would have to return to east Africa where all humans originated.

Ahmadinejad: We're not talking about the Europeans; we're talking about the Palestinians. The Palestinians were there, in Palestine. Now 5 million of them have become refugees. Don't they have a right to live?

SPIEGEL: Mr. President, doesn't there come a time when one should accept that the world is the way it is and that we must accept the status quo? The war against Iraq has put Iran in a favorable position. The United States has suffered a de facto defeat in Iraq. Isn't it now time for Iran to become a constructive power of peace in the Middle East? Which would mean giving up its nuclear plans and inflammatory talk?

Ahmadinejad: I'm wondering why you're adopting and fanatically defending the stance of the European politicians. You're a magazine, not a government. Saying that we should accept the world as it is would mean that the winners of World War II would remain the victorious powers for another 1,000 years and that the German people would be humiliated for another 1,000 years. Do you think that is the correct logic?

SPIEGEL: No, that's not the right logic, nor is it true. The Germans have played a modest, but important role in post-war developments. They do not feel as though they have been humiliated and dishonored since 1945. We are too self-confident for that. But today we want to talk about Iran's current mission.

Ahmadinejad: Then we would accept that Palestinians are killed every day, that they die in terrorist attacks, and that houses are being destroyed. But let me say something about Iraq. We have always favored peace and security in the region. For eight years, the Western countries provided arms to Saddam in the war against us, including chemical weapons, and gave him political support. We were against Saddam and suffered severely because of him, so we're happy that he has been toppled. But we don't accept a whole country being swallowed under the pretext of wanting to topple Saddam. More than 100,000 Iraqis have lost their lives under the rule of the occupying forces. Fortunately, the Germans haven't been involved in this. We want security in Iraq.

SPIEGEL: But, Mr. President, who is swallowing Iraq? The United States has practically lost this war. By cooperating constructively, Iran might help the Americans consider their retreat from the country.

Ahmadinejad: This is very interesting: The Americans occupy the country, kill people, sell the oil and when they have lost, they blame others. We have very close ties to the Iraqi people. Many people on both sides of the border are related. We have lived side by side for thousands of years. Our holy pilgrimage sites are located in Iraq. Just like Iran, Iraq used to be a center of civilization.

SPIEGEL: What are you trying to say?

Ahmadinejad: We have always said that we support the popularly elected government of Iraq. But in my view the Americans are doing a bad job. They have sent us messages several times asking us for help and cooperation. They have said that we should talk together about Iraq. We publicly accepted this offer, although our people do not trust the Americans. But America has responded negatively and insulted us. Even now we're contributing to security in Iraq. We will hold talks only if the Americans change their behavior.

SPIEGEL: Do you enjoy provoking the Americans and the rest of the world now and then?

Ahmadinejad: No, I'm not insulting anyone. The letter that I wrote to Mr. Bush was polite.

SPIEGEL: We don't mean insult, but provoke.

Ahmadinejad: No, we feel animosity toward no one. We're concerned about the American soldiers who die in Iraq. Why do they have to die there? This war makes no sense. Why is there war when there is reason as well?

SPIEGEL: Is your letter to the president also a gesture toward the Americans that you wish to enter into direct negotiations?

Ahmadinejad: We clearly stated our position in this letter on how we view the problems in the world. Some powers have befouled the political atmosphere in the world because they consider lies and fraud to be legitimate. In our view that is very bad. We believe that all people deserve respect. Relationships have to be regulated on the basis of justice. When justice reigns, peace reigns. Unjust conditions aren't sustainable, even if Ahmadinejad does not criticize them.

SPIEGEL: This letter to the American president includes a passage about Sept. 11, 2001. The quote: "How could such an operation be planned and implemented without the coordination with secret and security services or without the far-reaching infiltration of these services?" Your statements always include so many innuendos. What is that supposed to mean? Did the CIA help Mohammed Atta and the other 18 terrorists conduct their attacks?

Ahmadinejad: No, that's not what I meant. We think that they should just say who is to blame. They should not use Sept. 11 as an excuse to launch a military attack against the Middle East. They should take those who are responsible for the attacks to court. We're not opposed to that; we condemned the attacks. We condemn any attack against innocent people.

SPIEGEL: In this letter you also write that Western liberalism has failed. What makes you say that?

Ahmadinejad: You see, for example you have a thousand definitions of the Palestian problem and you offer all sorts of different definitions of democracy in its various forms. It does not make sense that a phenomenon depends on the opinions of many individuals who are free to interpret the phenomenon as they wish. You can't solve the problems of the world that way. We need a new approach. Of course we want the free will of the people to reign, but we need sustainable principles that enjoy universal acceptance - such as justice. Iran and the West agree on this.

SPIEGEL: What role can Europe play in the resolution of the nuclear conflict, and what do you expect of Germany?

Ahmadinejad: We have always cultivated good relations with Europe, especially with Germany. Our two peoples like each other. We're eager to deepen this relationship.

Europe has made three mistakes with respect to our people. The first mistake was to support the shah's government. This has left our people disappointed and discontent. However, by offering asylum to Imam Khomeini, France earned a special position that it lost again later. The second mistake was to support Saddam in his war against us. The truth is that our people expected Europe to be on our side, not against us. The third mistake was Europe's stance on the nuclear issue. Europe will be the big loser and will achieve nothing. We don't want to see that happen.

SPIEGEL: What will happen now in the conflict between the West and Iran?

Ahmadinejad: We understand the Americans' logic. They suffered damage as a result of the victory of the Islamic Revolution. But we're puzzled why some European countries are opposed to us. I sent out a message on the nuclear issue, asking why the Europeans were translating the Americans' words for us. After all, they know that our actions are aimed toward peace. By siding with Iran, the Europeans would serve their own and our interests. But they will suffer only damage if they oppose us. For our people is strong and determined.

The Europeans risk losing their position in the Middle East entirely, and they are ruining their reputation in other parts of the world. The others will think that the Europeans aren't capable of solving problems.

SPIEGEL: Mr. President, we thank you for this interview.

Interview conducted by Stefan Aust, Gerhard Spörl and Dieter Bednarz in Tehran.

World Powers To Sign Off On Iran Package

May 29, 2006
The Associated Press
CTV

link to original article

U.S., Russian, Chinese and European officials plan to sign off this week on a package of incentives and penalties meant to reward Iran if it gives up uranium enrichment -- and punish it if it doesn't, diplomats said Monday. Agreement by the five permanent members of the U.N. Security Council plus Germany could open the way for sanctions if Tehran remains defiant and refuses to abandon technology that can be used to make the fissile core of nuclear warheads.

Their meeting was set for Thursday in Vienna, said the diplomats, who demanded anonymity for divulging the confidential information.

Tehran appeared unimpressed: One official repeated that Iran is permitted to enrich uranium for peaceful purposes under the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty. Another announced that his country had experimented in technology that can be used to make the hydrogen bomb.

Tehran's main goal was recognition of "the essential right of Iran to have nuclear technology," Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki said during a visit to Malaysia.

State television quoted nuclear official Sadat Hosseini as saying his country "is competing with the advanced world in the field of producing nuclear energy through fusion."

Fusion is the main principle behind the hydrogen bomb, which can be hundreds of times more powerful than atomic weapons that use fission. In a hydrogen bomb, radiation from a nuclear fission explosion sets off a fusion reaction responsible for a powerful blast and radioactivity.

Peaceful uses of fusion are still at the experimental stage.

The European Union, the United States, Japan, China, Russia and others hope to set up a demonstration power plant in the southern French town of Cadarache around 2040. Officials project that 10 percent to 20 percent of the world's energy could come from fusion by the end of the century.

International concern about Iran's nuclear aims has been focused on fears it could be trying to make a fission-type nuclear weapon by enriching uranium to weapons-grade level. Hosseini's comments were likely add to concern about Tehran's interest in fusion.

But former U.N. nuclear inspector David Albright said the announcement was probably "not very worrisome."

"They like to pretend they are competing but their program is (probably) pretty rudimentary," said Albright, who runs the Washington-based Institute for Science and International Security.

"One part of their (nuclear) strategy is to say, 'We have it all, so you can't stop us,'" he said.

Any package foreign ministers approve on Thursday would then be presented to Tehran by France, Britain and Germany -- the trio of nations that broke off talks with Iran in August after it resumed activities linked to uranium enrichment.

The Security Council gave Iran until the end of April to suspend all such activities. Instead of complying, Iran announced last month that it had for the first time successfully enriched uranium and was doing research on advanced centrifuges to produce more of the material in less time.

Indirectly linked to any possible deal for Iran would be agreement on a resolution tough enough for Washington but acceptable to Tehran ally Moscow, a dispute that has hobbled action by the Security Council's permanent members for months.

If Iran remains defiant, the proposal -- as outlined to AP by diplomats familiar with the text -- calls for a resolution imposing sanctions under Chapter VII, Article 41 of the U.N. Charter. But it avoids any reference to Article 42, which is the trigger for possible military action to enforce any such resolution.

The proposal also calls for new consultations among the five permanent Security Council members on any further steps against Iran -- a move meant to dispel complaints by the Russians and Chinese that once the screws on Iran are tightened, the council would automatically move toward military involvement.

Among the possible sanctions are a visa ban on government officials, the freezing of assets, blocking financial transactions by government figures and those involved in the country's nuclear program, an arms embargo and a blockade on the shipping of refined oil products to Iran.

If Tehran agrees to suspend enrichment, enter new negotiations on its nuclear program and lift a ban on intrusive inspections by the International Atomic Energy Agency, rewards would include agreement to "suspend discussion of Iran's file at the Security Council," as well as help in building a peaceful domestic nuclear program that uses an outside supply of enriched uranium.

West Must Take Pre-emptive Action for its Own Security

May 29, 2006
Telegraph
Janet Daley

link to original article

You could hear a snigger of triumph echo round the world as George Bush and Tony Blair uttered an admission of their "mistakes" over Iraq. Not quite the mortified apology that the anti-war lobby wanted, but it would make a satisfying headline.

The Blair Government is imploding at home and when Tony goes under, George will be friendless. The Bush-Blair foreign misadventure show is in its last, discredited moments.

In no time at all, we will be back to business as usual: the UN can hunker down happily into its familiar stalemates and corrupt corridor deals, while Europe witters about the minutiae of its latest wave of regulations. And the peoples of the world who live under murderous despots can go to hell in a handcart.

Well, it's not to be: never business as usual again, I'm afraid. The status quo ante is not an option - not just, as Mr Blair likes to say, because of 9/11, but because the old dispensation was a product of the Cold War.

In the days when two nuclear superpowers eyeballed each other across the wall, the little dictators were part of a global chess game.

The big boys could be complacently cynical about third world tyrannies: it didn't matter if a ruler was genocidal or corrupt and kept his own population in terrorised poverty. All that mattered was that he was your guy.

We kept our sons-of-bitches under control and they kept their sons-of-bitches under control. It was a global carve-up of the most callous and immoral kind.

It always makes me smile when I hear Leftists complaining, in the old Stalinist tradition, about Western imperialism in Iraq: these are the very people who used to attack the United States for supporting dictatorships that suited its interests.

Well, you can't have it both ways. Either it's good to remove dictators, or it isn't. But anyway, the game is up. It is the little dictators and the rogue states, with their access to nuclear weapons and their terrorist networks, who are the threat now.

The ideological struggle which had once bribed and coerced them into compliance is finished. They are on the loose, and there is no room for complacency any more.

The undoing of the Blair-Bush case for the war - the "deception" of public opinion over the existence of weapons of mass destruction - was actually rooted in this historical shift. Removing Saddam Hussein had to be justified on the old rules - he is an immediate threat to our national security - when, in reality, this was the first war to be fought on the new rules.

In his Georgetown University speech, Mr Blair said that, in this new global politics "idealism becomes the realpolitik", which sounds like one of his rhetorical oxymorons.

Typical of Mr Blair's pronouncements on this subject, it was sententious and self-regarding - and absolutely right. What he meant was that a policy that would once have seemed hopelessly pious and far-reaching - liberating oppressed people in distant lands that seem to have little to do with us - was not just an abstract moral duty but essential for our security.

If terror is to be defeated, then the swamp that breeds terrorists must be drained. So try putting it this way: "Pre-emption is the pragmatism of the 21st century." Mr Blair's talk about UN reform makes Washington impatient: they see the talking shop principle as exhausted, irrelevant and too reliant on the cooperation of the dictators who must be displaced.

If there is a criticism to be made of the Blair logic, it is that it does not follow the argument through to its obvious conclusion: the lunatic in charge of Iran must not be permitted to acquire nuclear weapons under any circumstances, and so the threat of force must remain on the table as a last resort.

If his beloved international consensus fails, Mr Blair knows that the United States and its best friends will have to handle this alone, whoever occupies the White House and Downing Street.

But it is a pity about Europe's pusillanimous response to the new order: the US does have real limitations in its understanding of how the rest of the world thinks.

What really went wrong in Iraq was a failure of the US to grasp that not everyone would seize the gift of freedom with both hands and make it work. They say that America is an optimistic country because that's where the optimists went.

What is also true is that it is the place where people went when they hungered for freedom - from religious persecution, from poverty, from inequality. Americans believe that being free is a universal birthright.

They just don't get it when nations, given the choice, opt for dictatorship, theocracy or the tribalism of warlords. What Mr Blair has tried to sell to Washington is the wisdom that the Old World has to offer about ancient hatreds and peoples who fear liberty - but this will not wash if Europe wants no part of the new order and refuses the role it might have had.

Now the Blair era is crashing to a gruesome end. While the Prime Minister delivered his grand speech on the future of the world, his deputy was playing croquet in a kind of parody of aristocratic insouciance.

There is a comic quality to the fiasco of New Labour's failure to manage even the most mundane functions of government. The brand new Home Secretary sets off on holiday while illegal immigrants discover that they can simply walk out of detention.

But in the first analysis, the Iraq war will be seen as the cause of Mr Blair's collapse. It will be his support for the Bush foreign policy that will take the blame - at least, in the media coverage - for his downfall, even though domestic problems are causing greater public anger and anxiety.

But, as Mr Blair knows, these things are connected: illegal immigration, which arouses so much resentment, will remain a problem for Britain and the US so long as poverty and oppression in Africa, Latin America and the Middle East persist.

In the West, we have learned how to eradicate mass starvation and gross inequality. There is no mystery: the answer is liberal democratic government and free market economics. Those are the things that we are going to have to export if we are to have any hope of a peaceful future.

Iran Says Research on Nuclear Fusion Progressing

May 29, 2006
Reuters
The Washington Post

link to original article

TEHRAN -- Iran is pressing ahead with research tests on nuclear fusion, a type of atomic reaction which has yet to be developed for commercial power generation, a senior Iranian official said on Monday.

Iran said in the 1990s it was working on nuclear fusion research but this is the first mention in years that the work is continuing and comes at a time of heightened tension over Iran's nuclear program.

Iran has been hauled before the U.N. Security Council for failing to convince the world that its atomic work is not being used to make bombs. Tehran insists it only wants to generate electricity.

"Iran has done various fusion tests for research purposes at its Amirabad research reactor over the last few years," the official told Reuters, referring to the reactor in central Tehran, adding that Iran was continuing to carry out such tests.

"We do fusion tests for research purposes from time to time," he said.

Commercial nuclear reactors rely on nuclear fission, a process that generates energy from splitting atoms.

Fusion tries to generate power by joining nuclei of atoms together, but scientists have yet to develop a commercial way of doing this so that it produces more energy than it consumes.

Each development in Iran's nuclear program is scrutinized by the international community. Iran surprised experts in April by announcing it had enriched uranium for the first time in small quantities to the level used in nuclear power plants.

As long ago as 1996, the then Iranian President Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani said Iran was pressing ahead with research on nuclear fusion.

In 1999, Canada said it had blocked a plan to sell its experimental nuclear fusion program to Iran because it could be used to make atomic bombs.

Nuclear arms incorporating fusion are also called thermonuclear bombs.

Russia Signals Delay in Tor-M1 to Iran

May 29, 2006
Middle East Newsline
MENL

link to original article

MOSCOW -- Russia has again signaled a delay in the delivery of advanced air defense systems to Iran. Officials acknowledge that Russia has delayed delivery of the TOR-M1 to Iran by several months. They said the first shipment of 29 short-range air defense batteries was to have begun in February 2006.

"The contract to deliver the short-range TOR-M1 air defense system has been signed," Defense Minister Sergei Ivanov said. "To fulfill it will take some time."

Ivanov, who is also deputy prime minister, did not say when the TOR-M1 would be delivered to Iran. In November 2005, Russia signed a $700 million contract to deliver 29 TOR-M1 air defense systems to Iran.

Iran 'will Need 5bn Dollars Subsidy' to Avoid Petrol Rationing

May 28, 2006
The Financial Times
Gareth Smyth in Tehran

link to original article

A leading Iranian parliamentarian on Sunday warned President Mahmoud Ahmadi-Nejad he would need to spend an extra 5bn Dollars this year to pay for subsidies on sales to motorists of imported petrol and diesel to avoid politically sensitive rationing.

Kamal Daneshyar, head of the parliament’s energy commission, told Reuters the government needed to withdraw the money from the Oil Stabilisation Fund (OSF), which collects windfall oil revenue for contingencies and investment. He later told the FT this was in addition to the $2.5bn (€2bn, £1.3bn) already allocated in the budget for the year March 2006-March 2007.

But the allocation of OSF funds to maintain subsidies would fly in the face of Mr Ahmadi-Nejad’s promises to maximise spending on capital projects, especially in Iran’s regions.

Current government spending is already due to rise 20.5 per cent in the current year, according to Iran Economics, the leading Tehran monthly. With inflation put officially at 13.5 per cent, this represents a significant increase in real terms.

The fiscal pressure over petrol imports results from the antiquated state of Iran’s refineries and subsidies which keep the price for motorists at 9 cents a litre.

Despite having the world’s second-largest proven crude oil reserves, Iran imports around 40 per cent of its petrol. So while rising global oil prices boost Iranian coffers and are celebrated by Mr Ahmadi-Nejad, the subsequent rise in imported petrol prices has become a domestic issue.

Little progress has been made on a $15bn plan to revamp five existing refineries, build three new ones, and so increase production over five years from 40m litres a day to 92m litres.

Mr Daneshyar ruled out an earlier proposal, discussed in government and parliament, for two-tier pricing later in the year to sell imported petrol at cost to motorists. He said this would be “illegal” as the government lacked time to meet 25 targets set by the energy commission, including improving public transport.

With more and more cars throttling Tehran’s streets and the average motorist using 10 litres per day, double the world average, the World Bank in March estimated total losses from air pollution in Iran at $10.3bn by 2009, $14bn in 2014 and $19.2bn in 2019.

But many politicians oppose higher petrol prices as either inflationary or politically sensitive, even though around 8m litres of subsidised petrol are daily smuggled into Afghanistan, Iraq, Turkmenistan, Turkey and the UAE.

With Mr Ahmadi-Nejad’s popularity holding up, his centrist opponents are discussing plans for a common front against him.

The Iranian media reported on Sunday that three leading figures – including two former presidents Mohammad Khatami and Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani plus Mehdi Karrubi, former parliamentary speaker – were discussing a common slate for both November’s election for the assembly of experts, which chooses Iran’s supreme leader, and for local elections next March.

Jews Urge Ban of Iran Chief at Game

May 29, 2006
Agence France Presse
The Washington Times

link to original article

LOS ANGELES -- An international Jewish human rights group again urged Germany yesterday to bar Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad from attending soccer's World Cup finals after the Islamist leader repeated his doubts about the Holocaust.

The Los Angeles-based Simon Wiesenthal Center, which made a similar appeal last month, repeated the request after Mr. Ahmadinejad questioned the Holocaust's existence in an interview with a German magazine.

"I know this is difficult for the Germans; they have economic relations to think of," said Rabbi Marvin Hier, founder of the Simon Wiesenthal Center.

"But it is unfair for the victims of the Holocaust and their families to pay the bill once again," he said.

"Whether they say it publicly or privately, they should tell Ahmadinejad that he is unwelcome to attend the World Cup and that his presence there would be an affront to the millions of Jews and non-Jews who perished in the Holocaust," Mr. Hier said.

In the interview with Der Spiegel that hits newsstands today, Mr. Ahmadinejad said: "I will only accept something as an absolute truth if I am fully convinced."

He also repeated his calls for Jews to leave Israel and return to Europe.

"If the Holocaust happened, then Europe should suffer the consequences and not let Palestine pay the price. If nothing happened, then the Jews should go back to where they came from," he said.

Mr. Ahmadinejad has said that he does not plan to attend the sport's premier world tournament.

Germany has criminal laws against Holocaust denial.

Iran: Last Exit for Diplomacy

May 28, 2006
Daily Times
Joschka Fischer

link to original article

The Bush administration must lead the Western initiative in harmonised, direct negotiations with Iran, and, if these negotiations succeed, the US must also be willing to agree to appropriate guarantees. In this confrontation, international credibility and legitimacy will be the deciding factors, and ensuring them will require far-sighted and cool, calculated American leadership

The Iran crisis is moving fast in an alarming direction. There can no longer be any reasonable doubt that Iran’s ambition is to obtain nuclear weapons capability. However, at the heart of the issue lies the Iranian regime’s aspiration to become a hegemonic Islamic and regional power and thereby position itself at eye level with the world’s most powerful nations. It is precisely this ambition that sets Iran apart from North Korea: whereas North Korea seeks nuclear weapons capability in order to entrench its isolation, Iran is aiming for regional dominance and more.

Iran is betting on revolutionary changes within the power structure of the Middle East to help it achieve its strategic goal. To this end, it makes use of Israel and the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, but also of Lebanon, Syria, its influence in the Gulf region, and, above all, Iraq. This combination of hegemonic aspirations, questioning of the regional status quo, and a nuclear programme is extremely dangerous.

Iran’s acquisition of a nuclear bomb — or even its ability to produce one — would be interpreted by Israel as a fundamental threat to its existence, thereby compelling the West, and Europe in particular, to take sides. Europe has not only historical moral obligations to Israel, but also security interests that link it to the strategically vital Eastern Mediterranean. Moreover, a nuclear Iran would also be perceived as a threat by its other neighbours.

This would likely provoke a regional arms race and further fuel regional volatility. In short, a nuclear Iran would call Europe’s fundamental security into question. To believe that Europe could keep out of this conflict is a dangerous illusion.

In this crisis, the stakes are high, which is why Germany, the UK, and France began negotiations with Iran two years ago with the goal of persuading Iran to abandon its efforts to close the nuclear fuel cycle. This initiative failed for two reasons. First, the European offer to open up technology and trade, including the peaceful use of nuclear technology, was disproportionate to Iran’s fundamental fear of regime change on the one hand, and its regional hegemonic aspirations and quest for global prestige on the other. Second, the disastrous US-led war in Iraq has led Iran’s leaders to conclude that the leading Western power has been weakened to the point that it is dependent on Iran’s goodwill, and that high oil prices have made the West all the more wary of a serious confrontation.

The Iranian regime’s analysis might prove a dangerous miscalculation, because it is likely to lead sooner rather than later to a ÒhotÓ confrontation that Iran simply cannot win. After all, the issue at the heart of this conflict is this: who dominates the Middle East — Iran or the United States? Iran’s leaders underestimate the explosive nature of this issue, and how it is answered, for the US as a global power and thus for its own future.

Nor, however, is the debate about the military option — the destruction of Iran’s nuclear programme through US air strikes — conducive to resolving the issue. Rather, it rings of a self-fulfilling prophecy. There is no guarantee that attempts to destroy Iran’s nuclear potential and thus of its capability for a nuclear breakout will succeed. Moreover, as a victim of foreign aggression, Iran’s nuclear weapons ambitions would be fully legitimised. Finally, a military attack on Iran would also mark the beginning of a regional, and possibly global, military and terrorist escalation — a nightmare for all concerned.

So what should be done? There remains a serious chance for a diplomatic solution if the US, in cooperation with the Europeans and thus certainly with the support of the Security Council and the non-aligned states of the Group of 77, offers Iran a ÒGrand BargainÓ. In exchange for long-term suspension of uranium enrichment, Iran and other states would gain access to research and technology within an internationally defined framework and under comprehensive supervision by the International Atomic Energy Agency. Full normalisation of political and economic relations would follow, including binding security guarantees upon agreement of a regional security design.

The high price for refusing such a proposal has to be made absolutely clear to the Iranian leadership: should no agreement be reached, the West will do everything within its power to isolate Iran economically, financially, technologically, and diplomatically, with the full support of the international community. Iran’s alternatives should be no less than recognition and security, or total isolation.

Presenting Iran with these alternatives presupposes that the West does not fear rising oil and gas prices. Indeed, the two other options — Iran’s emergence as a nuclear power or the use of military force to prevent this — would, in addition to all of its horrible consequences, also increase oil and gas prices. Everything speaks in favour of playing the economic-financial and technology card vis-ˆ-vis Iran.

Knowledge of the potentially horrible consequences of a military confrontation and of the equally horrific consequences of an Iran in possession of the atomic bomb must force the US to abandon its policy of no direct negotiations and its hope for regime change. It is not enough for the Europeans to act while the Americans continue to look on as the diplomatic initiatives unfold, partaking in discussion only behind the scenes and ultimately letting the Europeans do what they will.

The Bush administration must lead the Western initiative in harmonised, direct negotiations with Iran, and, if these negotiations succeed, the US must also be willing to agree to appropriate guarantees. In this confrontation, international credibility and legitimacy will be the deciding factors, and ensuring them will require far-sighted and cool, calculated American leadership.

An offer of a ÒGrand BargainÓ would unite the international community and present Iran with a convincing alternative. Were Iran to agree to this offer, its suspension of nuclear research in Natanz while negotiations are ongoing would be the litmus test of its sincerity. Were Iran to refuse the offer or fail to honour its obligations, it would totally isolate itself internationally and provide emphatic legitimisation to further measures. Neither Russia nor China could avoid showing solidarity within the Security Council.

But such an initiative can succeed only if the American administration assumes leadership among the Western nations and sits down at the negotiating table with Iran. Even then, the international community would not have long to act. As all sides must be aware, time is running out for a diplomatic solution. —DT-PS

Joschka Fischer was Germany’s foreign minister and vice chancellor from 1998 to 2005. A leader in the Green Party for nearly 20 years, he helped change the Greens from a party of protest to a party of government.

Iran Says Won't Move All Atomic Work to Russia

May 29, 2006
Reuters
Yahoo News!

link to original article

Iran said on Monday it had no intention of moving all of its uranium enrichment work to Russia to allay the international community's fears that it could use nuclear fuel technology to make atomic bombs.

Western countries say the only way Iran can prove it is not seeking a bomb is for it to stop enriching uranium. But the Islamic Republic insists it has every right to turn the uranium ore mined in its central deserts into nuclear reactor fuel.

"There is no discussion about plans to give up enrichment on our soil and it is a wrong argument that the enrichment should be done in Russia," said government spokesman Gholamhossein Elham.

"Enrichment in Iran ... will continue," he told a weekly news conference.

A Russian offer to enrich uranium on Iran's behalf has made little progress with Tehran saying it would be willing to pass some but not all of its fuel work over to Moscow.

Igor Ivanov, Secretary of Russia's Security Council, held talks with senior Iranian officials in Tehran on Sunday.

But there was no sign of a breakthrough with Iran's Supreme National Security Council issuing a statement to say that the two sides had agreed to continue talking.

"The general approach is that Iran's case should remain in the (International Atomic Energy) Agency and if it does so all international and legal supervisions will continue and that is in everyone's interest," Elham added.

Iran's case has been referred to the U.N. Security Council for possible sanctions. Tehran says it is developing a nuclear program that will produce electricity, not bombs.

Angered by its referral to the world body, Tehran stopped allowing snap U.N. checks of its atomic facilities.

Russia, a veto-wielding member of the U.N. Security Council, has criticized Iran for enriching uranium in defiance of the world body. However, it has some important energy ties with Iran and opposes the use of sanctions against Tehran.

Russia is helping Iran build its first atomic power station at the Gulf port of Bushehr and is interested in further nuclear co-operation. Russia's LUKOIL is exploring the Anaran oilfield in the world's fourth biggest crude producer.

US planning to tighten net around Iran

By Khalid Hasan

http://www.dailytimes.com.pk/default.asp?page=2006%5C05%5C30%5Cstory_30-5-2006_pg1_5

WASHINGTON: The Bush administration is pressing Europe and Japan to impose wide-ranging sanctions designed to stifle the Iranian leadership financially if diplomatic efforts fail to resolve an impasse over the country’s nuclear programme, the Washington Post reported on Monday.

The newspaper, quoting internal government memos and interviews with three involved officials, said the scheme was developed by a Treasury Department task force that reports directly to Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice.

The plan is designed to curtail the financial freedom of every Iranian official, individual and entity the Bush administration considers connected not only to nuclear enrichment efforts but to terrorism, government corruption, suppression of religious or democratic freedom, and violence in Iraq, Lebanon, Israel and the Palestinian territories. It would restrict the Tehran government’s access to foreign currency and global markets, shut its overseas accounts and freeze assets held in Europe and Asia, the report added.

However, internal US assessments had suggested that the sanctions could not hurt Tehran without causing significant economic pain for Washington’s friends like Italy and Japan, both large importers of Iranian oil. The newspaper disclosed that American intelligence agencies had calculated the amount of foreign investment at stake and even which charities have connections to Tehran.

With Britain, France, Germany, Italy and Japan on board, sanctions would “isolate the Iranian regime” and see it “shunned by the international financial community,” according to one internal memo.

“The sanctions could make Iran miserable, and Iran can respond by making everyone miserable back,” said one senior Western official, who spoke recently with Rice. “In the end, the whole world is miserable and Iran gets to keep its nuclear programme.”

World powers mull Vienna meeting on Iran

http://www.iranmania.com/News/ArticleView/Default.asp?NewsCode=43310&NewsKind=Current%20Affairs

LONDON, May 30 (IranMania) - World powers are planning to meet in Vienna Thursday over Iran's nuclear ambitions with the international community still at odds over the issue of possible sanctions against Tehran, diplomats said.

The proposed meeting of foreign ministers from the five permanent UN Security Council members, Britain, China, France, Russia and the United States, plus Germany, and including European Union foreign policy chief Javier Solana, has not yet been confirmed, diplomats told AFP.

But one European diplomat said it was being arranged in order to "fine-tune" a European Union-drafted package of incentives to get Iran to guarantee it will not make nuclear weapons, as well as sanctions if Tehran does not comply.

Political directors from the six foreign ministries will Tuesday discuss the package in a telephone conference, diplomats in Vienna confirmed.

One said the political directors would also attend any meeting Thursday in the Austrian capital.

A Western diplomat said the so-called EU-3 of Britain, France and Germany "are working hard now to revise their package to respond to concerns, mostly from (Iranian allies and trading partners) Russia and China."

The diplomat said disagreements centered around the timing of a Security Council resolution to require Iran to comply and open the door to sanctions, with Russia and China wanting to put this off but the United States plus the EU-3 wanting sanctions to quickly follow any Iranian non-compliance.

"There are still significant areas of disagreement" such as "the detail and commitment in the package to a specific menu of sanctions," the diplomat said.

According to a draft text seen by AFP, the possible sanctions include an arms embargo on Iran -- something Russia, a major arms supplier to Iran, and China, a major consumer of Iranian oil, resist.

The European diplomat said the disagreements were mainly over how to present the package and how hard to go on possible sanctions.

"Much depends on how you approach someone," the diplomat said.

Iran on Monday once again spurned the prospect of EU incentives to curtail its nuclear program, saying the bloc must acknowledge its right to nuclear technology.

"The main incentive for Iran is to recognise the essential right of Iran to have nuclear technology and the ways of realising this right," Iranian Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki said when asked about the incentive plan.

The United States and the EU-3 want Iran to abandon all uranium enrichment activities since this process makes not only fuel for nuclear power reactors but also can make the raw material for atom bombs.

Iran insists on its right to enrich uranium but would be willing to limit its enrichment activities, diplomats have said.

Oil Futures Trades Above $71 as UN Studies Iran Atomic Program

 

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=10000085&sid=agNiQsfyGTDc&refer=europe# 

May 30 (Bloomberg) -- Crude oil traded above $71 a barrel in New York amid concern supplies from Iran, the world's fourth- biggest producer, may be threatened should the United Nations impose sanctions to halt the Islamic republic's nuclear research.

Foreign ministers of the five permanent members of the UN Security Council and Germany may meet in Vienna June 1 to consider a package of incentives to get Iran to abandon uranium enrichment, Agence France-Presse reported yesterday. Members are divided on how long Iran should have to comply before sanctions are sought, AFP reported, citing European diplomats.

``Iran is going to fold on this,'' said David Thurtell, commodity strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia Ltd. in Sydney. ``They're just going to stick it out and extract as big a concession as they can. The U.S. is going to have to make some concessions as well.''

Crude oil for July rose as much as 19 cents, or 0.3 percent, to $71.56 a barrel in after-hours electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It traded at $71.46 at 9:`9 a.m. Sydney time. Prices today are 37 percent higher than a year ago.

The contract rose 5 cents to $71.37 a barrel on May 26, when trading hours were reduced before the Memorial Day holiday weekend. Prices traded between $70.86 and $71.90, the narrowest trading range in three weeks. The exchange was closed yesterday.

Russia and the other world powers are prepared to guarantee Iran's right to develop nuclear energy provided that the government eases international concern over its nuclear intentions and cooperates fully with the International Atomic Energy Agency, the Interfax news service said yesterday, citing Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov.

IRAN SHIFTING TO WAR FOOTING

http://frontpagemagazine.com/Articles/Printable.asp?ID=22661

Mahmoud Ahmadinejad made it clear that he sees European opposition to his nuclear program a threat, and returned one in kind. Speaking to the German magazine Der Spiegel, the Iranian president warned Europe that they will "suffer the consequences" if they did not capitulate:

Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad warned Europe that it should support his country's nuclear program or "suffer the consequences."

In an interview to be published in the German Der Spiegel on Sunday, Ahmadinejad also expressed his doubt regarding the Holocaust, saying that even if it had occurred, the Jewish state should have been established in Europe, not in Palestine.

The article in DS has not yet been released, but the Jerusalem Post blurb indicates that Iran's president has not yet tired of following the playbook of Adolf Hitler in dealing with the West. Alternating between veiled threats and offers of diplomacy, Ahmadinejad has attempted to split the coalition of nations opposing its development of nuclear weapons. In this case, it looks like Ahmadinejad wants to stress the reach of Iranian weapons and the fact that most of Europe falls within their range.

Nor is that the only parallel between Hitler and Ahmadinejad these days. The messianic Shi'ite has conducted a purge of high-level political opponents from national offices, seemingly with the blessing of the Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khameini. The New York Times reports on the "consolidation" underway in Teheran:

President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad is trying to consolidate power in the office of the presidency in a way never before seen in the 27-year history of the Islamic Republic, apparently with the tacit approval of Iran's supreme leader, according to government officials and political analysts here. ...

Mr. Ahmadinejad is pressing far beyond the boundaries set by other presidents. For the first time since the revolution, a president has overshadowed the nation's chief cleric, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, on both domestic and international affairs.

He has evicted the former president, Mohammad Khatami, from his offices, taken control of a crucial research organization away from another former president, Ali Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani, challenged high-ranking clerics on the treatment of women and forced prominent academics out of the university system.

"Parliament and government should fight against wealthy officials," Mr. Ahmadinejad said in a speech before Parliament on Saturday that again appeared aimed at upending pillars of the status quo. "Wealthy people should not have influence over senior officials because of their wealth. They should not impose their demands on the needs of the poor people."

In this theocratic system, where appointed religious leaders hold ultimate power, the presidency is a relatively weak position. In the multiple layers of power that obscure the governance of Iran, no one knows for certain where the ultimate decisions are being made. But many of those watching in near disbelief at the speed and aggression with which the president is seeking to accumulate power assume that he is operating with the full support of Ayatollah Khamenei.

The Times notes that the elimination of the fog surrounding the exercise of power in Iran gives the US an opportunity for meaningful direct talks for the first time since the revolution 27 years ago. However, what the Times fails to comprehend is that, much like the Nazi "consolidation" in the early days of their rule, the accumulation of power to one man allows for streamlined internal decisionmaking, not external, where Khameini always held the power. That kind of structure lends itself to one purpose: war.

Ahmadinejad, working under Khameini's approval, is stripping all of the potential elements of opposition to war from his government. Arrests have not yet come, but this is certainly a politicial purge, attempting to guarantee a political purity in the government under Ahmadinejad. Nor is this limited to the secular government. Khameini appears to be using Ahmadinejad to bypass the rest of the Guardian Council and establish himself as the only cleric whose opinion matters. It reduces the amount of time needed for decisions and eliminates any potential for time-wasting dissension.

Why else would all decision-making power get concentrated in the hands of two men, and all mechanisms for dissent eliminated?

Other warning signs exist as well. Iran, like Germany in the late 20s and early 30s, has a restive population wishing for a sharp improvement in their standard of living. Ahmadinejad has to either deliver that or explain why he cannot. For this purpose, he has turned to Islamic anti-Semitism and as the Times reports, he has started to raise up a new intellectual elite that uses Jews as a scapegoat for the domestic woes Iranians suffer. They quote an unnamed political-science professor in Teheran as saying, "He is reshaping the identity of the elite. Being against Jews and Zionists is an essential part of this new identity." He has also started large government-works programs and promised all sorts of welfare to garner a populist following.

We have seen this path before. The world should recognize the signs, and the West had better start looking for Churchills rather than Chamberlains, and quickly.  Sunday, May 28, 2006

www.captainsquartersblog.com

*

IRANIAN-BACKED MILITIA GROUPS TAKE CONTROL OF MUCH OF SOUTHERN IRAQ

We Won! Alert from Knight Ridder Newspapers, with thanks to Mackie:

BASRA, Iraq - Southern Iraq, long touted as a peaceful region that's likely to be among the first areas returned to Iraqi control, is now dominated by Shiite Muslim warlords and militiamen who are laying the groundwork for an Islamic fundamentalist government, say senior British and Iraqi officials in the area.

The militias appear to be supported by Iranian intelligence or military units that are shipping weapons to the militias in Iraq and providing training for them in Iran.

Some British officials believe the Iranians want to hasten the withdrawal of U.S.-backed coalition forces to pave the way for Iran-friendly clerical rule.

Iranian influence is evident throughout the area. In one government office, an aide approached a Knight Ridder reporter and, mistaking him for an Iranian, said, "Don't be afraid to speak Farsi in Basra. We are a branch of Iran."

"We get an idea that (military training) courses are being run" in Iran, said Lt. Col. David Labouchere, who commands British units in the province of Maysan, north of Basra. "People are training on the other side of the border and then coming back."  Saturday, May 27, 2006

http://jihadwatch.org

*

AHMADINEJAD: "GERMANS ARE PRISONERS OF THE HOLOCAUST"

More details are emerging about the evil statements made by Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad in his interview with Germany’s Der Spiegel: Germans should stop feeling Holocaust guilt: Ahmadinejad.

BERLIN (Reuters) - Iran’s President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad told Germans they should no longer allow themselves to be held prisoner by a sense of guilt over the Holocaust and reiterated doubts that the Holocaust even happened.

In an interview with Germany’s Der Spiegel magazine, Ahmadinejad said he doubted Germans were allowed to write “the truth” about the Holocaust and said he was still considering traveling to Germany for the World Cup soccer tournament.

“I believe the German people are prisoners of the Holocaust. More than 60 million were killed in World War Two ... The question is: Why is it that only Jews are at the center of attention?,” he said in the interview published on Sunday.

“How long is this going to go on?” he added. “How long will the German people be held hostage to the Zionists?... Why should you feel obligated to the Zionists? You’ve paid reparations for 60 years and will have to pay for another 100 years.”  Sunday, May 28, 2006

 

 

 

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